Seven battleground states, any of which may probably swing to both the Democrats or Republicans, maintain the keys to the presidency within the 2024 election as voters make their selection between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.
Each Harris and Trump have made repeated visits to those aggressive states, the place CBS Information polling reveals the candidates have been just about tied within the lead-up to Election Day.
Listing of battleground states to look at within the 2024 presidential election
CBS Information considers these the battleground states within the 2024 presidential election:
- Arizona
- Georgia
- Michigan
- Nevada
- North Carolina
- Pennsylvania
- Wisconsin
Arizona has 11 electoral votes, and its polls shut at 9 p.m. ET on Election Day. Trump received Arizona in 2016, however then misplaced it narrowly to President Biden in 2020.
Georgia has 16 electoral votes, and the polls shut at 7 p.m. ET. Trump received the state in 2016, however in 2020, Mr. Biden beat him by fewer than 12,000 votes — the primary time a Democratic candidate had received the state since Invoice Clinton in 1992. Allegations that Trump and greater than a dozen allies engaged in a legal conspiracy to overturn Georgia’s 2020 outcomes at the moment are on the heart of an election interference case in Fulton County; Trump denies wrongdoing.
Michigan’s 15 electoral votes went to Trump in 2016 after nearly three many years of supporting Democrats for president. The state flipped in 2020, with Mr. Biden taking the win. Michigan is a part of the so-called “blue wall” of Midwestern states thought of essential for Democrats. Rep. Debbie Dingell not too long ago stated she believes her state will stay aggressive till the final vote is counted on Election Day. The primary polls in Michigan shut at 8 p.m. ET, however some are in a distinct time zone and shut at 9 p.m. ET.
Nevada has voted Democratic for the previous 4 presidential elections. With six electoral votes, Nevada has the smallest complete of the seven presidential battleground states. Polls shut within the state at 10 p.m. ET.
North Carolina remains to be coping with the devastating aftermath of Hurricane Helene. Each candidates have visited for the reason that storm. Democrats have received the state’s 16 electoral votes solely twice since 1968, most not too long ago in 2008 when voters backed Barack Obama. Trump edged out Mr. Biden within the state in 2020 by a little bit greater than 1 level, and in addition bested Hillary Clinton within the state in 2016. Polls in North Carolina shut at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Pennsylvania, with its 19 electoral votes, is a important battleground for Harris and Trump. Mr. Biden took the state in 2020, whereas Trump received there in 2016. Harris and Trump have visited the state at the very least 20 occasions every within the months main as much as the election. Polls in Pennsylvania shut at 8 p.m. ET.
Wisconsin voters backed Democrats for many years till 2016, when Trump flipped the state and secured its 10 electoral votes. Voters swung again in 2020, when Mr. Biden received the state. The state was determined by lower than 1% within the final two elections. Polls in Wisconsin shut at 9 p.m. ET.
The newest polling from battleground states
CBS Information’ Battleground Tracker offers the most recent estimates of assist for Harris and Trump in these states because the 2024 marketing campaign involves an in depth. Estimates are primarily based on CBS Information/YouGov polling and evaluation.
The findings beneath additionally embody Nebraska’s aggressive 2nd Congressional District; Nebraska is one in every of two states, together with Maine, that permits splitting up its electoral votes.
What’s a battleground state, technically?
A battleground state — generally referred to as a swing state — has a inhabitants of voters who’re nearly evenly divided politically heading into the election. Whereas many states vote pretty constantly for both Democrats or Republicans, each events see an opportunity to win within the battlegrounds and make investments an enormous quantity of time and cash into campaigning in these states.
How have battleground states shifted over time?
This is who voters in battleground states backed in previous elections:
Arizona:
- 2020: Joe Biden (Democrat)
- 2016: Donald Trump (Republican)
- 2012: Mitt Romney (Republican)
- 2008: John McCain (Republican)
- 2004: George W. Bush (Republican)
- 2000: George W. Bush (Republican)
Georgia:
- 2020: Joe Biden (Democrat)
- 2016: Donald Trump (Republican)
- 2012: Mitt Romney (Republican)
- 2008: John McCain (Republican)
- 2004: George W. Bush (Republican)
- 2000: George W. Bush (Republican)
Michigan:
- 2020: Joe Biden (Democrat)
- 2016: Donald Trump (Republican)
- 2012: Barack Obama (Democrat)
- 2008: Barack Obama (Democrat)
- 2004: John Kerry (Democrat)
- 2000: Al Gore (Democrat)
Nevada:
- 2020: Joe Biden (Democrat)
- 2016: Hillary Clinton (Democrat)
- 2012: Barack Obama (Democrat)
- 2008: Barack Obama (Democrat)
- 2004: George W. Bush (Republican)
- 2000: George W. Bush (Republican)
North Carolina:
- 2020: Donald Trump (Republican)
- 2016: Donald Trump (Republican)
- 2012: Mitt Romney (Republican)
- 2008: Barack Obama (Democrat)
- 2004: George W. Bush (Republican)
- 2000: George W. Bush (Republican)
Pennsylvania:
- 2020: Joe Biden (Democrat)
- 2016: Donald Trump (Republican)
- 2012: Barack Obama (Democrat)
- 2008: Barack Obama (Democrat)
- 2004: John Kerry (Democrat)
- 2000: Al Gore (Democrat)
Wisconsin:
- 2020: Joe Biden (Democrat)
- 2016: Donald Trump (Republican)
- 2012: Barack Obama (Democrat)
- 2008: Barack Obama (Democrat)
- 2004: John Kerry (Democrat)
- 2000: Al Gore (Democrat)
