There’s a fairly clear image within the early vote in Indiana and Kansas that reveals Kamala Harris working 3-4 proportion factors higher than Biden did in 2020.
With that, we have seen a tick larger in Harris odds on Kalshi to 45% from 42% prior to now half-hour.
The massive caveat right here is that these is perhaps early, mail-in votes which skew Democrat. However it’s a very constant theme throughout nearly all counties in each states.
A warning is that demographics have modified for each candidates within the interim. Final election, we additionally noticed some false and untimely alerts in this type of knowledge.
Anticipate an enormous wave of additional knowledge on the high of the hour.
