President-elect Donald Trump gained greater than 40% of the Jewish vote in a number of states, breaking by means of a seemingly insurmountable barrier on the power of his assist for Israel and his confirmed dedication to preventing antisemitism.
Nationwide exit polls steered that Trump, like different Republicans, had solely gained a small share of the Jewish vote. The CNN/ABC/CBS/NBC ballot steered that Trump gained solely 21% of the Jewish vote; Fox Information steered he gained 31%.
However even 31% would have been the best proportion of the Jewish vote for any Republican presidential candidate since Ronald Reagan gained 39% in 1980. Dwight D. Eisenhower holds the present file of 40% within the 1965 election.
Replace: The Republican Jewish Coalition estimated that Trump gained 32% of the Jewish vote nationwide.
Furthermore, in a number of states, Trump broke by means of 40%, lengthy seen because the ceiling for Jewish votes for a Republican. The Fox Information ballot discovered that Trump gained comparatively excessive percentages of the Jewish vote within the following states:
- Arizona – 38%
- Florida – 44%
- New Jersey – 34%
- Nevada – 42%
- New York – 46%
There have been too few Jewish respondents within the samples to file percentages in lots of different states within the Fox ballot.
The outcomes didn’t fairly affirm a ballot throughout the marketing campaign that confirmed Trump with 50% of the Jewish vote in New York State, however they did counsel that Trump got here near that quantity.
The New York Publish reported that Trump elevated his share of the Jewish vote in that state by 50% over 2020.
The Jewish vote is notoriously tough to estimate due to small pattern sizes, however polls earlier than the election steered that Trump would win overwhelming majorities of Jews who stated Israel and antisemitism had been prime points. That, nevertheless, is a minority of American Jews.
Whereas Trump was by no means anticipated to win a majority of Jews, it was anticipated that actions within the Jewish vote in a number of key states — notably Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, and Nevada — might swing these states to Trump.
Joel B. Pollak is Senior Editor-at-Massive at Breitbart Information and the host of Breitbart Information Sunday on Sirius XM Patriot on Sunday evenings from 7 p.m. to 10 p.m. ET (4 p.m. to 7 p.m. PT). He’s the creator of The Agenda: What Trump Ought to Do in His First 100 Days, obtainable for pre-order on Amazon. He’s additionally the creator of The Trumpian Virtues: The Classes and Legacy of Donald Trump’s Presidency, now obtainable on Audible. He’s a winner of the 2018 Robert Novak Journalism Alumni Fellowship. Comply with him on Twitter at @joelpollak.