After 4 years out of workplace, former U.S. President Donald Trump is now as soon as once more the president-elect. The result of Tuesday’s election was shocking, if not surprising. Most polls forecast a detailed final result, with the prospect of both Trump or his opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris, successful amounting to a coin flip. Others, together with myself, predicted a Harris victory, even a convincing one. The idea of these predictions was that turnout could be excessive and would favor the Democratic Celebration. Turnout was excessive, although decrease than in 2020, and the end result was not significantly shut. However that as a substitute favored the Republican Celebration and Trump.
He now joins Grover Cleveland as the one U.S. president to win two nonconsecutive phrases in workplace. In doing so, Trump secured a majority of the Electoral School vote, but additionally, not like in 2016, a majority of the favored vote. The victory broke a string of poor election performances by Trump himself since barely successful the presidency in 2016: In all subsequent elections by which he performed a key position, whether or not by endorsing candidates for Congress and the Senate or by operating himself, the Republican Celebration underperformed.
It actually appeared that Trump was a drag on his social gathering and that this may carry over into his 2024 presidential run. However that didn’t occur—in any respect. Whereas excessive turnout has historically favored Democrats, that tendency has modified in recent times, and Tuesday’s election was a key instance. Trump gained assist in rural areas, as was anticipated, but additionally in city areas, which wasn’t. Down ticket, the Republicans gained management of the Senate and seem poised to retain management of the Home of Representatives. In different phrases, it was a transparent win for Trump and the Republican Celebration.
