Talking on the Gold Discussion board Americas , Bristow mentioned whereas Barrick was alert to probably value-accretive alternatives generated by the consolidation of the {industry}, it had the uncommon luxurious of doing so from an asset base that will help natural progress effectively into the long run.
“5 years in the past, we got down to construct a sustainably worthwhile gold and copper enterprise centered on world-class belongings. We didn’t have to purchase them at a premium: they have been embedded within the merged portfolio of Barrick and Randgold and we simply needed to unlock their worth,” he mentioned.
“We’ve six Tier One 2 gold mines with extra within the making and our long-term plans are primarily based on high quality orebodies with industry-leading grades that drive bettering price profiles. Alongside our peerless gold portfolio, we’re additionally constructing a considerable copper enterprise, each to feed the rising demand for this strategic steel and since it enhances our progress optionality to incorporate copper-gold porphyries.”
Bristow listed three world-class gold alternatives, all in Nevada, which he described because the world’s premier mining jurisdiction. The lately commissioned Goldrush is ramping as much as a focused 400,000 ounces every year by 2028. 3 Bordering on Goldrush is the 100% Barrick-owned Fourmile, which is returning grades double these of Goldrush and is one other Tier One mine within the making. 4 Nonetheless in Nevada, the 14-million-ounce Leeville challenge is growing into a significant progress driver that would double or triple Carlin’s reserves, extending its life past 2045. 5
On the copper facet of the enterprise, two transformative tasks are on monitor for first manufacturing in 2028. The Reko Diq copper-gold challenge in Pakistan is designed to provide 400,000 tonnes of copper and 500,000 ounces of gold per 12 months within the second section of its growth. 4 The Lumwana Tremendous Pit challenge in Zambia will double the mine’s manufacturing over a +30-year life. 4
“Mining is a consumptive {industry} which requires fixed alternative of the ounces it depletes. Barrick leads the {industry} in orebody enlargement and has greater than changed the gold reserves it has mined over the previous 5 years. 6 Much more considerably, the ounces which were added are on the identical or higher grade than the reserves that have been mined,” Bristow mentioned.
He famous that since 2019, Barrick had additionally constructed an industry-leading stability sheet, decreasing web debt by $3.5 billion, investing $11.2 billion in +10 12 months life-of-mine plans for its key mines and returning greater than $5 billion to shareholders. Its sturdy working money flows would supply the monetary flexibility to fund its progress tasks.
“Contemplating all this, it is extraordinary how undervalued Barrick’s shares are. Based mostly on analysts’ consensus web asset worth calculations, the worth of simply our curiosity in Nevada Gold Mines and our copper portfolio nearly exceeds our present market capitalization. 7 Which means the remainder of our enterprise is barely valued at $3.3 billion, and that features our curiosity in three Tier One gold mines exterior Nevada, the world-class Fourmile challenge, and the event tasks within the pipeline. 7 It additionally doesn’t consider our exploration groups’ unparallelled success in discovering new ounces. At our present share value, the case for investing in Barrick must be compelling,” he mentioned.
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Investor and media relations
Kathy du Plessis
+44 20 7557 7738
Electronic mail: barrick@dpapr.com
Web site: www.barrick.com
Technical Info
The scientific and technical info contained on this presentation has been reviewed and authorised by Craig Fiddes, SME-RM, Lead, Useful resource Modeling, Nevada Gold Mines; Richard Peattie, MPhil, FAusIMM, Mineral Sources Supervisor: Africa and Center East; Simon Bottoms, CGeol, MGeol, FGS, FAusIMM, Mineral Useful resource Administration and Analysis Government (on this capability Mr. Bottoms can also be accountable on an interim foundation for scientific and technical info regarding the Latin America and Asia Pacific area); John Steele, CIM, Metallurgy, Engineering and Capital Initiatives Government; and Joel Holliday, FAusIMM, Government Vice-President, Exploration—every a “Certified Particular person” as outlined in Nationwide Instrument 43-101 – Requirements of Disclosure for Mineral Initiatives .
All mineral reserve and mineral useful resource estimates are estimated in accordance with Nationwide Instrument 43-101 – Requirements of Disclosure for Mineral Initiatives . Until in any other case famous, such mineral reserve and mineral useful resource estimates are as of December 31, 2023.
Endnotes
1 Situation assumes an indicative manufacturing profile for Reko Diq and Lumwana, each of that are conceptual in nature. Doesn’t embody Fourmile. Confer with the beneath desk for the whole record of Barrick’s outlook assumptions.
Key Outlook Assumptions | 2024 | 2025 | 2026+ |
Gold Worth ($/oz) | 1,900 | 1,300 | 1,300 |
Copper Worth ($/lb) | 3.50 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Oil Worth (WTI) ($/barrel) | 80 | 70 | 70 |
AUD Alternate Charge (AUD:USD) | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 |
ARS Alternate Charge (USD:ARS) | 800 | 800 | 800 |
CAD Alternate Charge (USD:CAD) | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
CLP Alternate Charge (USD:CLP) | 900 | 900 | 900 |
EUR Alternate Charge (EUR:USD) | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
Gold equal ounces calculated from our copper belongings are calculated utilizing a gold value of $1,300/oz and copper value of $3.00/lb. Barrick’s ten-year indicative manufacturing profile for gold equal ounces relies on the next assumptions:
Barrick’s five-year indicative outlook relies on our present working asset portfolio, sustaining tasks in progress and exploration/mineral useful resource administration initiatives in execution. This outlook relies on our present reserves and sources and assumes that we are going to proceed to have the ability to convert sources into reserves. Further asset optimization, additional exploration progress, new challenge initiatives and divestitures usually are not included. For the corporate’s gold and copper segments, and the place relevant for a particular area, this indicative outlook is topic to vary and assumes the next: new open pit manufacturing permitted and commencing at Hemlo within the second half of 2025, permitting three years for allowing and two years for pre-stripping previous to first ore manufacturing in 2027; Tongon will enter care and upkeep by 2027; and manufacturing from the Zaldívar CuproChlor® Chloride Leach Venture (Antofagasta is the operator of Zaldívar).
Our five-year indicative outlook excludes: manufacturing from Fourmile; Pierina, and Golden Daylight, each of that are presently in care and upkeep; and manufacturing from long-term greenfield optionality from Donlin, Pascua-Lama, Norte Abierto and Alturas.
Barrick’s ten-year indicative manufacturing profile is topic to vary and relies on the identical assumptions as the present five-year outlook detailed above, besides that the next 5 years of the ten-year outlook assumes attributable manufacturing from Fourmile in addition to exploration and mineral useful resource administration tasks in execution at Nevada Gold Mines and Hemlo.
Barrick’s five-year and ten-year manufacturing profile on this presentation additionally assumes an indicative gold and copper manufacturing profile for Reko Diq and an indicative copper manufacturing profile for the Lumwana Tremendous Pit enlargement, each of that are conceptual in nature.
2 A Tier One Gold Asset is an asset with a $1,300/oz reserve with potential for five million ounces to help a minimal 10-year life, annual manufacturing of a minimum of 500,000 ounces of gold and with all-in sustaining prices per ounce within the decrease half of the {industry} price curve. Tier One Property should be positioned in a world class geological district with potential for natural reserve progress and long-term geologically pushed addition.
3 Confer with the Technical Report on the Cortez Advanced, Lander and Eureka Counties, State of Nevada, USA, dated December 31, 2021, and filed on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca and EDGAR at www.sec.gov on March 18, 2022.
4 Indicative manufacturing profiles from Fourmile and Lumwana and recovered manufacturing profiles from Reko Diq are conceptual in nature and topic to vary following completion of Fourmile’s pre-feasibility research, Lumwana’s feasibility research and Reko Diq’s up to date feasibility research, respectively. Fourmile is presently 100% owned by Barrick. As beforehand disclosed, Barrick anticipates Fourmile being contributed to the Nevada Gold Mines three way partnership, at truthful market worth, if sure standards are met.
5 “14 million ounce Leeville challenge” refers to whole historic gold manufacturing of the Leeville Advanced from 2005 to 2023 of 8.5 million ounces (100% foundation) plus estimated year-end 2023 possible mineral reserves of the Leeville Advanced of 5.4 million ounces of gold (100% foundation).
Estimates of Leeville Advanced mineral reserves as of December 31, 2023 on a 100% foundation: Possible mineral reserves of 20 million tonnes grading 8.48g/t, representing 5.4 million ounces of gold. Presently, no confirmed mineral reserves are reported for Leeville Advanced. Leeville Advanced contains:
- Pete Bajo: Possible mineral reserves of two.0 million tonnes grading 7.39g/t, representing 0.47 million ounces of gold
- Rita Okay: Possible mineral reserves of three.5 million tonnes grading 6.26g/t, representing 0.70 million ounces of gold
- Leeville: Possible mineral reserves of 14 million tonnes grading 9.17g/t, representing 4.2 million ounces of gold
6 Confirmed and possible reserve positive aspects calculated from cumulative web change in reserves from 12 months finish 2019 to 2023. Reserve alternative proportion is calculated from the cumulative web change in reserves from 12 months finish 2019 to 2023 divided by the cumulative depletion in reserves from 12 months finish 2019 to 2023 as proven within the desk beneath.
Yr | Attributable P&P Gold (Moz) |
Attributable Gold Acquisition & Divestments (Moz) | Attributable Gold Depletion (Moz) |
Attributable Gold Web Change (Moz) |
2019 a | 71 | – | – | – |
2020 b | 68 | (2.2) | (5.5) | 4.2 |
2021 c | 69 | (0.91) | (5.4) | 8.1 |
2022 d | 76 | – | (4.8) | 12 |
2023 e | 77 | – | (4.6) | 5 |
2019-2023 Complete | N/A | (3.1) | (20) | 29 |
Totals might not seem to sum appropriately resulting from rounding. | ||||
Attributable acquisitions and divestments consists of the next: a lower of two.2 Moz in confirmed and possible gold reserves from December 31, 2019 to December 31, 2020, on account of the divestiture of Barrick’s Massawa gold challenge efficient March 4, 2020; and a lower of 0.91 Moz in confirmed and possible gold reserves from December 31, 2020 to December 31, 2021, on account of the change in Barrick’s possession curiosity in Porgera from 47.5% to 24.5% and the online impression of the asset alternate of Lone Tree to i-80 Gold for the remaining 50% of South Arturo that Nevada Gold Mines didn’t already personal.
All estimates are estimated in accordance with Nationwide Instrument 43-101 – Requirements of Disclosure for Mineral Initiatives as required by Canadian securities regulatory authorities.
- Estimates as of December 31, 2019, except in any other case famous. Confirmed reserves of 280 million tonnes grading 2.42 g/t, representing 22 million ounces of gold and Possible reserves of 1,000 million tonnes grading 1.48 g/t, representing 49 million ounces of gold.
- Estimates as of December 31, 2020, except in any other case famous. Confirmed reserves of 280 million tonnes grading 2.37g/t, representing 21 million ounces of gold and Possible reserves of 990 million tonnes grading 1.46g/t, representing 47 million ounces of gold.
- Estimates as of December 31, 2021, except in any other case famous. Confirmed mineral reserves of 240 million tonnes grading 2.20g/t, representing 17 million ounces of gold and Possible reserves of 1,000 million tonnes grading 1.60g/t, representing 53 million ounces of gold.
- Estimates as of December 31, 2022, except in any other case famous. Confirmed mineral reserves of 260 million tonnes grading 2.26g/t, representing 19 million ounces of gold and Possible reserves of 1,200 million tonnes grading 1.53g/t, representing 57 million ounces of gold.
- Estimates are as of December 31, 2023, except in any other case famous. Confirmed mineral reserves of 250 million tonnes grading 1.85g/t, representing 15 million ounces of gold. Possible reserves of 1,200 million tonnes grading 1.61g/t, representing 61 million ounces of gold
Barrick Market Cap i | | | $36.5bn |
| Analyst Consensus NAV ii |
Market Based mostly P/NAV A number of |
Implied Worth iv |
Nevada Gold Mines (61.5% share) | $13.1bn | 1.86x iii | $24.4bn |
Barrick Copper Property (together with Reko Diq 50% share & Lumwana enlargement) | $8.0bn | At Least 1.1x v | At the very least $8.8bn |
Mixed Implied Worth of NGM & Copper Property | | At the very least $33.2bn | |
Implied Worth of Remainder of Barrick | | 0.21x | $3.3bn |
i. Per CIBC Mining Comps as of September 13, 2024.
ii. Per CIBC Mining Comps as of September 13, 2024, company changes apportioned throughout belongings proportional to NAV.
iii. Based mostly on Agnico’s P/NAV a number of, per CIBC Mining Comps as of September 13, 2024.
iv. Implied worth equal to analyst NAV instances the market primarily based P/NAV a number of.
v. According to the copper peer common of 1.1x, per CIBC Mining Comps as of September 13, 2024.
Knowledge sources: Firm Disclosure, Fraser Institute and S&P CapitalIQ.
Cautionary Assertion on Ahead-Wanting Info
Sure info contained or included by reference on this presentation, together with any info as to our technique, tasks, plans or future monetary or working efficiency, constitutes “forward-looking statements”. All statements, apart from statements of historic reality, are forward-looking statements. The phrases “anticipate”, “technique”, “goal”, “steering”, “ramp up”, “design”, “challenge”, “proceed”, “further”, “progress”, “potential”, “future”, “focus”, “on monitor”, “growing”, “scheduled”, “within the making”, “will”, “can”, “may” and related expressions establish forward-looking statements. Particularly, this presentation incorporates forward-looking statements together with, with out limitation, with respect to: Barrick’s forward-looking manufacturing steering, together with our 5 and ten 12 months outlooks, and anticipated manufacturing progress from Barrick’s natural challenge pipeline and reserve alternative; the estimated web asset worth of our portfolio, together with Reko Diq and the Lumwana Tremendous Pit enlargement, and the market primarily based P/NAV multiples at which these belongings would commerce and implied worth; the monetary efficiency of the Lumwana Tremendous Pit enlargement; the potential to extend reserves at Carlin two to 3 instances from exploration and the flexibility to increase its lifetime of mine; estimates of future prices and projected future money flows, capital, working and exploration expenditures and mine life and manufacturing charges; materials will increase in manufacturing volumes at Pueblo Viejo, Porgera and Lumwana; our potential to transform sources into reserves and exchange reserves web of depletion from manufacturing; mine life and manufacturing charges; our plans and anticipated completion and advantages of our progress tasks, together with the ramp up at Goldrush, timing for the pre-feasibility research determination and anticipated gold manufacturing at Fourmile, anticipated annual manufacturing, focused first manufacturing and completion of the feasibility research at Reko Diq, the Pueblo Viejo plant enlargement and the anticipated timeline for the completion of a feasibility research and first manufacturing for the Lumwana Tremendous Pit and its potential to increase its lifetime of mine; estimated copper manufacturing at Reko Diq and from the Lumwana Tremendous Pit enlargement, together with projected mining charges; estimates of future prices and projected future money flows, capital, working and exploration expenditures and mine life and manufacturing charges; the potential for Reko Diq, Lumwana and Fourmile to turn into Tier One belongings and the potential for Lumwana to turn into a high 25 copper asset; Barrick’s world exploration technique and deliberate exploration actions; Barrick’s copper technique; our pipeline of excessive confidence tasks at or close to present operations; potential mineralization and steel or mineral recoveries; joint ventures and partnerships; Barrick’s technique, plans, targets and objectives in respect of environmental and social governance points; and expectations relating to future value assumptions, monetary efficiency and different outlook or steering.
Ahead-looking statements are essentially primarily based upon various estimates and assumptions together with materials estimates and assumptions associated to the elements set forth beneath that, whereas thought of affordable by the Firm as on the date of this presentation in mild of administration’s expertise and notion of present circumstances and anticipated developments, are inherently topic to important enterprise, financial and aggressive uncertainties and contingencies. Recognized and unknown elements may trigger precise outcomes to vary materially from these projected within the forward-looking statements and undue reliance shouldn’t be positioned on such statements and data. Such elements embody, however usually are not restricted to: the potential to transform all or a part of the mineral useful resource for the Tremendous Pit enlargement right into a mineral reserve following the completion of the feasibility research; dangers associated to competitors within the mining {industry}; fluctuations within the spot and ahead value of gold, copper or sure different commodities (reminiscent of silver, diesel gas, pure fuel and electrical energy); dangers related to tasks within the early phases of analysis and for which further engineering and different evaluation is required; dangers associated to the chance that future exploration outcomes is not going to be per the Firm’s expectations, that portions or grades of reserves will probably be diminished, and that sources might not be transformed to reserves; dangers related to the truth that sure of the initiatives described on this presentation are nonetheless within the early phases and should not materialize; adjustments in mineral manufacturing efficiency, exploitation and exploration successes; dangers that exploration information could also be incomplete and appreciable further work could also be required to finish additional analysis, together with however not restricted to drilling, engineering and socioeconomic research and funding; the speculative nature of mineral exploration and growth; lack of certainty with respect to international authorized techniques, corruption and different elements which can be inconsistent with the rule of legislation; disruption of provide routes which can trigger delays in development and mining actions, together with disruptions within the provide of key mining inputs as a result of invasion of Ukraine by Russia and conflicts within the Center East; threat of loss resulting from acts of warfare, terrorism, sabotage and civil disturbances; dangers related to artisanal and unlawful mining; adjustments in nationwide and native authorities laws, taxation, controls or rules and/or adjustments within the administration of legal guidelines, insurance policies and practices; expropriation or nationalization of property and political or financial developments in Canada, the USA or different international locations by which Barrick does or might stick with it enterprise sooner or later; dangers regarding political instability in sure of the jurisdictions by which Barrick operates; timing of receipt of, or failure to adjust to, vital permits and approvals; non-renewal of or failure to acquire key licenses by governmental authorities; failure to adjust to environmental and well being and security legal guidelines and rules; elevated prices and bodily and transition dangers associated to local weather change, together with excessive climate occasions, useful resource shortages, rising insurance policies and elevated rules regarding greenhouse fuel emission ranges, vitality effectivity and reporting of dangers; Barrick’s potential to realize its sustainability objectives, together with its climate-related objectives and greenhouse fuel emissions discount targets; the legal responsibility related to dangers and hazards within the mining {industry}, and the flexibility to take care of insurance coverage to cowl such losses; injury to the Firm’s fame as a result of precise or perceived prevalence of any variety of occasions, together with detrimental publicity with respect to the Firm’s dealing with of environmental issues or dealings with neighborhood teams, whether or not true or not; dangers associated to operations close to communities that will regard Barrick’s operations as being detrimental to them; litigation and authorized and administrative proceedings; working or technical difficulties in reference to mining or growth actions, together with geotechnical challenges, tailings dam and storage amenities failures, and disruptions within the upkeep or provision of required infrastructure and data know-how techniques; elevated prices, delays, suspensions and technical challenges related to the development of capital tasks; dangers related to working with companions in collectively managed belongings; dangers associated to disruption of provide routes which can trigger delays in development and mining actions; dangers related to Barrick’s infrastructure, info know-how techniques and the implementation of Barrick’s technological initiatives, together with dangers associated to cybersecurity incidents, together with these attributable to pc viruses, malware, ransomware and different cyberattacks, or related info know-how system failures, delays and/or disruptions; worker relations together with lack of key staff; availability and elevated prices related to mining inputs and labor; and dangers related to ailments, epidemics and pandemics. As well as, there are dangers and hazards related to the enterprise of mineral exploration, growth and mining, together with environmental hazards, industrial accidents, uncommon or surprising formations, pressures, cave-ins, flooding and gold bullion, copper cathode or gold or copper focus losses (and the chance of insufficient insurance coverage, or lack of ability to acquire insurance coverage, to cowl these dangers).
Many of those uncertainties and contingencies can have an effect on our precise outcomes and will trigger precise outcomes to vary materially from these expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements made by, or on behalf of, us. Readers are cautioned that forward-looking statements usually are not ensures of future efficiency. The entire forward-looking statements made on this presentation are certified by these cautionary statements. Particular reference is made to the latest Kind 40-F/Annual Info Kind on file with the SEC and Canadian provincial securities regulatory authorities for a extra detailed dialogue of among the elements underlying forward-looking statements and the dangers that will have an effect on Barrick’s potential to realize the expectations set forth within the forward-looking statements contained on this presentation.
We disclaim any intention or obligation to replace or revise any forward-looking statements whether or not on account of new info, future occasions or in any other case, besides as required by relevant legislation.