Can the Florida Panthers repeat as Stanley Cup champions or is it the Edmonton Oilers’ flip to go from runners-up to No. 1? What’s going to occur within the Jap Convention wild-card race?
After kicking off The Athletic NHL employees’s season predictions Thursday with particular person awards, in the present day we take a look at staff expectations. Who makes the playoffs? Who’re the potential darkish horses? Which fan base is sure for disappointment?
To select aside the outcomes of our polling, present context and provides us a wholesome critique, we’ve introduced in NHL senior writers James Mirtle and Sean Gentille, analytics know-it-all Shayna Goldman and betting professional Jesse Granger.
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Who will win the Stanley Cup?
Mirtle: I really feel particular with the lone Hurricanes decide. Perhaps that is lastly the 12 months?! Proper?
Goldman: Lose within the Stanley Cup Closing then return to win the following 12 months. I believe I’ve seen that script earlier than.
Gentille: I picked the Stars final season. The Devils don’t fairly appear prepared. The Leafs are the Leafs. The Avs have a great deal of query marks. It’s Edmonton by default.
Granger: I believe the Devils are the right mixture of expertise, motivation and relaxation from an extended summer time than they’d hoped for, with, lastly, the addition of a top-flight goalie in Jacob Markstrom.
Who would be the runners-up?
Gentille: In different phrases, most of us assume the Rangers will discover a new method to disappoint their followers within the playoffs.
Granger: Our consensus Cup Closing decide is Oilers over Rangers. You may guess that actual outcome at 66-1 odds.
Who will end in final place?
Mirtle: Pray for Yaroslav Askarov, mates.
Granger: And Mackenzie Blackwood.
Gentille: The Sharks added a number of actual, stay NHL gamers this season. That doesn’t imply issues will change all that a lot.
Who would be the largest disappointment?
Have to be projected at 100-plus factors by Dom’s mannequin at the beginning of the season. Projected level whole in parentheses.
Goldman: I didn’t vote for Carolina, but it surely really makes some sense right here. Yr after 12 months, they’re one of many Jap Convention favorites. However the outcomes simply don’t match the hype ultimately, so it feels just like the stress is beginning to amp up there.
Granger: Thatcher Demko’s harm has me very involved for Vancouver. He lined up a whole lot of holes on that staff with heroics in internet, proven by his sky-high .845 save proportion on high-danger pictures. If he finally ends up taking part in the vast majority of the season, the Canucks must be tremendous, but when not, it’s rather a lot to ask from Kevin Lankinen and Artūrs Šilovs.
Who’s your darkish horse Cup contender?
Have to be projected as a middle-of-the-pack staff, between 85 and 100 factors by Dom’s mannequin at the beginning of the season. Projected level whole in parentheses.
Granger: The Devils are my decide to win the Cup, so I sort of needed to decide them right here.
Mirtle: I threw Vegas my vote right here as (a) the Devils are the simple selection and (b) everyone seems to be sleeping on how good the Golden Knights stay, which incorporates, maybe, the NHL’s finest blue line. Plus they’re going so as to add two $10 million forwards on the deadline, anyway.
Goldman: I neglect if I picked Tampa Bay or Nashville right here, actually. The Lightning have depth points however aren’t useless but. And the Predators had a extremely fascinating offseason. They’re my two darkish horse contenders to look at as a result of Mirtle’s proper, the Devils are the simple selection right here.
Gentille: Sometime, I’ll be accomplished treating the Lightning as a real contender. At present shouldn’t be that day.
Who’s your shock playoff staff?
Have to be projected beneath 85 factors by Dom’s mannequin at the beginning of the season. Projected level whole in parentheses.
Goldman: Detroit appears like the one authentic decide right here, particularly if it could construct off its stage from that late-season push. Even when the Flyers go on a run like final 12 months, their deadline strikes possible take them proper out of the dialog once more.
Gentille: Yep, it’s the Purple Wings by default for me, too. Their path feels life like, a minimum of, particularly if a few their prospects pop.
Who would be the first coach fired?
Coach | % of vote |
---|---|
21.4% |
|
21.4% |
|
10.7% |
|
7.1% |
|
7.1% |
|
3.6% |
|
3.6% |
|
3.6% |
|
3.6% |
|
3.6% |
|
3.6% |
|
3.6% |
|
3.6% |
|
3.6% |
Mirtle: Practically half the league being talked about sounds just like the NHL.
Goldman: The common tenure of an NHL coach is lower than 2.5 years, so it’s actually anybody’s recreation right here.
Gentille: There’s been a lot turnover the previous couple of years that we’re quick on precise candidates.
East playoff subject
We requested every voter to choose the eight East playoff groups. Right here is the share of the votes acquired by every staff. (Observe: * playoff staff in 2023-24)
Goldman: Sorry Atlantic Division disruptors, it apparently nonetheless shouldn’t be your time.
Gentille: Very humorous to see the Capitals, a staff that truly made the playoffs final season after which improved over the summer time, that far down the listing.
Granger: The humorous factor is, the oddsmakers agree. Washington is a minus-190 favourite to overlook the playoffs, and plus-155 to qualify for them.
West playoff subject
We requested every voter to choose the eight West playoff groups. Right here is the share of the votes acquired by every staff. (Observe: * playoff staff in 2023-24)
Mirtle: Vancouver at 100% with Demko’s harm points is daring, however then once more, the Pacific isn’t any assassin’s row.
Goldman: That is Utah erasure, wow. I’m just a little shocked there isn’t extra confidence behind the Jets — Connor Hellebuyck can get his staff there, the remaining is just a bit fuzzy.
Gentille: Glad to see we’re all predicting one other 12 months of the most effective new custom within the sport — the Kings shedding to Edmonton within the first spherical.
Granger: With Drew Doughty happening within the preseason and the uncertainty with Darcy Kuemper and David Rittich in internet, it is sensible that the Kings are the closest to slipping out of playoff place, even when they’re nonetheless deep up entrance.
(Illustration: Dan Goldfarb / The Athletic. Photographs: Ric Tapia, Richard A. Whittaker / Icon Sportswire; Joel Auerbach / Getty Photographs)