Following at the moment’s launch of IKEA’s figures for the 52 weeks ending 31st August 2024; Matt Walton, senior retail analyst, at GlobalData, a number one information and analytics firm, presents his view: “Even IKEA couldn’t outrun the powerful big-ticket sector in 2024, as weaker shopper confidence and supressed disposable earnings discouraged spend on furnishings, with IKEA’s UK gross sales falling by 6.8% to £2.3bn for the monetary 12 months. The retailer invested £117m in reducing costs which contributed to this topline decline; a 3rd of its vary dropped in worth by a mean of 20% in an try and stimulate demand in areas resembling bed room, kitchens and storage. Nevertheless, the dearth of demand typically for big-ticket purchases meant that these decrease costs weren’t counterbalanced sufficient by increased volumes.
“On-line has remained comparatively buoyant for IKEA, rising by 0.9% on final 12 months and witnessing penetration improve by 3.2ppts to 41.7%. On-line penetration is deeper nonetheless in London, reaching 51.4%, aided by its new distribution centre in Dartford which has processed just below 500,000 orders since opening in Could 2023. GlobalData figures point out that IKEA’s on-line gross sales development was quicker than the mixed UK furnishings, floorcoverings and homewares on-line marketplace for the 12 months to August 2024 with enhancements to its supply supply in late 2023 supporting this uplift.
“The enhancements to on-line embody reducing supply expenses, in addition to thresholds to acquire free deliveries, introducing a brand new supply possibility for smaller furnishings and the rolling out of IKEA assortment factors at Tesco automotive parks following a profitable trial. There are actually over 100 pick-up factors at Tesco, with plans to open an additional 100 assortment factors because it goals to have 90% of UK prospects being inside 5 miles of a group level throughout the subsequent 12 months. These strikes are prudent as buyers develop into extra snug shopping for house merchandise on-line and the factors overcome the relative inconvenience of attending to an IKEA retailer. The initiative may even increase gross sales for homewares merchandise, the place the beforehand increased supply value was a barrier for smaller ticket gadgets.
“The prospects for IKEA in FY2024/25 are extra optimistic, nevertheless. Present shopper confidence stays brittle largely because of the uncertainty surrounding the upcoming October funds. Ought to prospects obtain this funds positively, there may be more likely to be a launch of pent-up demand in furnishings. This launch can be particularly useful for IKEA because the deadline for Christmas supply for a lot of distinguished retailers would have handed earlier than the funds was introduced, whereas buyers might go to an IKEA retailer and accumulate the merchandise themselves within the run-up to Christmas. Its on-line supply can also be faster than a few of its rivals. The latest momentum by way of housing transactions and continued real-wage development in 2025 will increase demand for furnishings as nicely. The opening of its retailer on Oxford Road and central Brighton in 2025 may even present a lift to gross sales and supply higher comfort to buyers within the South East.”