Breeders’ Cup 2024: Professional picks, odds and previews for the Traditional and Saturday’s different races

Day 2 of the Breeder’s Cup options eight Grade 1 races, together with the much-anticipated Breeders’ Cup Traditional. To accommodate the school soccer schedule, the marquee race, known as the Traditional, is being run mid-card with a put up time of 5:41 p.m. ET.

TV protection for Saturday’s occasions begins at 2:00 p.m. on USA, shifting to NBC at 3:30 p.m. and going again to USA at 6:00 p.m. (All instances Japanese.)

You can even watch all through the day on Fubo, Peacock, NBCSports.com and the NBC Sports activities app. All Breeders’ Cup races besides the Traditional will even be obtainable on FanDuel TV.

Under, I’ve highlighted horses that I discover intriguing for one cause or one other: their expertise, their pace, their story or their connections. I attempt to look past favorites to horses that may boost vertical exotics (exactas, trifectas, superfectas), and if I get beat by a favourite, so be it.

Good luck and protected journeys to all.

Filly and Mare Dash

Publish time: 3:00 p.m. ET
Purse: $1 million
Distance: 7 furlongs

The remarkably constant No. 4 Vahva (16 races, six wins, three seconds, three thirds) takes her first shot on the Breeders’ Cup this 12 months. Although she got here in a disappointing third as the favourite within the Grade 1 Ballerina Stakes at Saratoga and has been unraced since then, she’s raced completely in graded stakes races going again to Could 2023. She’s raced nicely off layoffs up to now, and that’s why she’s at all times an element. Her report is 8-5-2-1 on the distance, and the morning line odds put Vahva at 4-1.

No. 9 Methods and Means (5-2) is a deserving favourite, and No. 6 Society (3-1) has in the reduction of to this distance after faltering at routes and a seventh-place end within the Breeders’ Cup Distaff final 12 months.

If you’re seeking to make a long-shot wager, I like No. 10 Scylla (10-1). Her profile is the kind that will usually make me play towards — she is winless and inexperienced on the distance and has no Grade 1 wins. However I by no means depend out coach Invoice Mott, and jockey Mike Smith has gained extra Breeders’ Cup races (27) than any jockey.

Turf Dash

Publish time: 3:41 p.m. ET
Purse: $1 million
Distance: 5 furlongs

Final 12 months, I favored long-shot No. 8 Massive Invasion (20-1) on this spot. He completed second by a neck, and he’s again this 12 months to take one other shot. From 14 begins on the distance, he’s gained 10 and completed third in three others. He and celebrity jockey Frankie Dettori might want to work out a visit in a crowded discipline at a brief distance, and whereas he won’t be adequate to win, he’ll be on my tickets.

No. 11 Massive Evs (12-1) returns to the Breeders’ Cup after successful the Juvenile Turf Dash final 12 months at this distance, at which he’s run 10 instances with six wins and solely two instances completed worse than third. The Irish-bred has racked up graded-stakes wins in England during the last 12 months, and there’s no cause to assume that he gained’t be an element once more this 12 months.

It might be foolhardy to miss heavy favourite No. 9 Cogburn (7-5). Undefeated on the distance and a graded stakes winner in all three of his races this 12 months, he’s received a flexible working type and a world-class jockey who can adapt to the tempo because it performs out.

No. 10 Isivunguvungu (20-1) has raced solely as soon as in the US, a win in a listed stakes race in September, however he’s impressed in graded stakes in his native South Africa, and I believe he’s value a sprinkle. Coach H. Graham Movement on the grass is a combo I’m pleased to wager at any value, and it’s paid off for me on large racing days up to now.

Distaff

Publish time: 4:21 p.m. ET
Purse: $2 million
Distance: 1 1/8 miles

Final 12 months’s winner, Idiomatic, was anticipated to run right here, however she was retired after getting injured every week earlier than the race. Completed as she is, she nonetheless would have had her arms full with No. 2 Thorpedo Anna (4-5), whose solely loss this 12 months got here within the Grade 1 Travers Stakes, when she raced towards males and misplaced by a head to Fierceness, who’ll contest the Traditional in a while the cardboard.

She is one spectacular filly. Three for 3 on the distance, seven wins in 9 races with two runner-up finishes — one may arguably say that this race comes on the finish of a rigorous marketing campaign and is likely to be an excessive amount of. You could possibly additionally say that she’s quick and robust and completely the one to beat.

You can even file underneath “chalky” No. 6 Raging Sea (7-2), who relishes this nine-furlong distance and involves the Distaff off two Grade 1 wins. If Thorpedo Anna goes to the lead and somebody goes along with her and cooks her, this filly is a logical one to sit down off the tempo and pounce late.

Extra Japanese horses than ever earlier than have traveled to the U.S. for the Breeders’ Cup this 12 months, and No. 9 Superior Result’s undefeated. She was bred in the US and is sired by Triple Crown winner Justify, and all however considered one of her wins have come by snug margins, together with the three at this distance.

Turf

Publish time: 5:01 p.m. ET
Purse: $5 million
Distance: 1 1/2 miles

European runners have dominated this race, successful eight of the final 11 renewals and 25 of 39 general. The 2023 winner, No. 11 Insurgent’s Romance (5-2), is again after taking final 12 months off and is the morning line favourite. He’s gained Grade 1 races in Hong Kong, Dubai and Qatar this 12 months, and with a ton of success at this distance, there’s no cause to assume that he can’t add to his worldwide trophy case.

Fillies and mares run towards their male counterparts extra usually in Europe than they do in the US, and No. 2 Emily Upjohn (5-1) makes her first journey to the U.S. to run right here. She hasn’t gained because the summer time of 2023 within the Grade 1 Coral Eclipse in Britain, however she’s normally aggressive and may boost your exotics.

U.S.-based and -bred No. 6 Far Bridge (6-1) heads into this race off two wins in Grade 1 races, each at this distance. The high-profile connections of No. 4 Luxembourg (12-1) are used to successful races at this degree, and this value on an Aidan O’Brien trainee is a rarity.

Traditional

Publish time: 5:41 p.m. ET
Purse: $7 million
Distance: 1 1/4 miles

Horses which might be bred or educated in Japan have been ascendant during the last 5 or so years in U.S. dust racing, and there are three of them working on this 12 months’s Traditional. Final 12 months, I characterised Japanese-bred No. 7 Ushba Tesoro (12-1) as “a menace,” and he ended up ending fourth by 4 1/2 lengths. He’s again this 12 months to take one other crack on the Traditional, and since his final journey to the U.S., he’s gained a Grade 1 and completed second in two others.

No. 1 Ceaselessly Younger (6-1) was third on this 12 months’s Kentucky Derby, overwhelmed by lower than a size by the 2 horses that completed in entrance of him. He went again to Japan after the Derby and gained the Japan Grime Traditional in October. Earlier this 12 months, he’d gained 5 straight: three in Japan, one in Saudi Arabia and one in Dubai. He’s received two wins and a 3rd on the distance, and he looms giant right here.

No. 3 Metropolis of Troy (5-2) was bred in Kentucky and sired by Justify, however he’s spent his complete profession in Europe, working in Britain and Eire, the place he’s gained six of seven races, together with at route distances. What he’s by no means achieved is run on dust, they usually say that you simply by no means wager a horse that’s favored doing one thing that he’s by no means achieved earlier than. That works for me right here, and whereas I’m unsure he’ll be favored come put up time, I’m pleased to let him beat me.

Second favourite at 3-1, No. 9 Fierceness has been inconsistent all through his profession, by no means placing collectively two wins in a row till this summer time, when he gained the Jim Dandy and the Travers Stakes at Saratoga. He’s super-talented, however I’m unsure that I belief him.

The story of the race could be No. 14 Subsequent (8-1), who’s made his profession working marathons, entailing distances of a mile and 1 / 4 and longer. He’s gained seven in a row and 13 of 23 lifetime, usually by 10 lengths or extra, and there’s little doubt that he’s a supremely gifted horse. The factor is that races of that distance aren’t typically of Grade 1 caliber, and neither are the horses that run in them. Kudos to his connections for taking a shot right here.

Filly and Mare Turf

Publish time: 6:25 p.m. ET
Purse: $2 million purse
Distance: 1 3/8 miles

That is one other race that’s been the province of worldwide runners; it’s been practically a decade since a horse bred in the US has gained it.

That mentioned, there are some home runners right here that catch my eye, and I’ll be upfront about saying that within the case of considered one of them, it’s as a result of I actually need to see her win.

That’s No. 4 Conflict Like Goddess (5-2). She will not be purely a sentimental decide, as she’s the morning line favourite, and her report holds up towards just about everybody else right here. That is the fourth Breeders’ Cup for the 7-year-old, which is spectacular in and of itself. However she’s but to make it to the winner’s circle, although she completed third in 2021 and 2022. She’s by no means been worse than third on the distance and has 4 wins in seven begins at 1 ⅜, however she’s received just one win this 12 months and faces formidable competitors.

No. 10 Moira (8-1) is one other sentimental favourite; that is her third try at this race, and she or he completed third in it final 12 months. Distance will not be a fear for her, and although she’s frivolously raced this 12 months, she’s been aggressive in all three begins, together with a win within the Grade 2 Beverly D. in August.

Coach Graham Movement brings one other long-shot menace right here in No. 11 Seashore Bomb (20-1), who started racing within the U.S. this summer time after starting her profession in South Africa, the place she was bred. Of the Euros, I’m inclined in the direction of No. 3 Cinderella’s Dream (4-1), who was primarily based within the U.S. this summer time and turned in two spectacular Grade 1 wins in New York.

Dash

Publish time: 7:05 p.m. ET
Purse: $2 million
Distance: 6 furlongs

No. 10 Mullikin (7-2) turned in a formidable efficiency on this summer time’s Grade 1 Forego Stakes at Saratoga, successful by 5 3/4 lengths because the odds-on favourite. It was his first Grade 1 win, along with his first graded stakes win coming in July in a Grade 2. Earlier than these two races, the corporate that he’d been preserving was fairly far beneath what he’ll face right here, so this ought to be the most important check of this 4-year-old’s profession.

One in all two Japanese runners right here, No. 5 Don Frankie (15-1), thrives at this distance and owns a Group 1 win in Japan. It is a large ask, however I’m intrigued at that value.

Not so much within the report of No. 11 Skelly (8-1) means that he can run with these, however he’s a dash specialist from the barn of a coach who educated a number of the greatest sprinters of the previous few years.

Mile

Publish time: 7:45 p.m. ET
Purse: $2 million purse
Distance: 1 mile

European horses specialize on this floor at this distance, so let’s begin there. No. 7 Porta Fortuna (4-1) has gained her final three races, two of them Grade 1, and she or he was a slim runner-up in final 12 months’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf. She’s taking up elders right here and working towards males, however she’s recreation and loves the space.

No. 12 Carl Spackler (6-1) is among the extra dominant U.S. runners right here, with a handful of graded stakes wins on his resume, and he involves the race off two straight Grade 1 wins. He’s received Irish turf blood on his sire facet and stamina on his dam facet; nothing to not like.

Lengthy-shot No. 8 Extra Than Seems (20-1) intrigues me, given his affinity for the space, although he’s winless at this degree and was overwhelmed in his final two races by Carl Spackler.

Grime Mile

Publish time: 8:25 p.m. ET
Purse: $1 million
Distance: 1 mile

No. 8 Publish Time (12-1) has had a heck of a 12 months, by no means ending worse than third. His greatest efficiency got here within the Grade 1 Whitney at Saratoga, a third-place end at odds of 25-1 that confirmed that he belongs in elite firm. He loves the space and has guts.

Just one winner of a Triple Crown race made it to the Breeders’ Cup, and that’s No. 6 Seize the Grey (10-1). He’s achieved his greatest working racing longer however does have a win on the distance.

An import from Argentina, No. 3 Full Serrano (15-1) has run twice at Del Mar, incomes a straightforward win and an in depth second, and he demonstrated in his South American races his appreciation of the mile. The expertise is there, although he’s taking a giant step up in competitors.

At a shorter value, don’t ignore No. 9 Home Product (7-2) who’s stretching out from seven furlongs to a mile after working at longer distances earlier this 12 months. He gained by 7 1/2 lengths in his solely try at this distance.

(Illustration: Meech Robinson, The Athletic; Photos by: Orlando Ramirez / Getty Pictures)