Week 10 of the NFL season options 14 video games, beginning with an AFC North matchup on Thursday night time. Present MVP favourite Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens welcome Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals to M&T Financial institution Stadium for a primetime showdown.
The Sunday slate kicks off with a morning sport from Germany as two struggling groups, the New York Giants and Carolina Panthers, face off from Allianz Enviornment in Munich. To complete off the day, Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions go to C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans on Sunday night time. The Lions enter the Sunday prime-time sport on a six-game profitable streak and are 4-0 on the street this season. Week 10 concludes with two groups apparently heading in reverse instructions. The Los Angeles Rams, winners of three straight video games, face the Miami Dolphins, who’re within the midst of a three-game skid.
Our crew takes an early have a look at Week 10 odds to seek out worth earlier than traces transfer later within the week.
Odds present as of publish time, courtesy of ESPN BET
Joe Fortenbaugh’s first wager: San Francisco 49ers (-6.5) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Final week: Cleveland Browns-Los Angeles Chargers UNDER 40.5 factors. Line closed at 41.5. Chargers gained 27-10.
Let’s lock this in earlier than it hits the important thing variety of 7. San Francisco is coming off the bye week, whereas Tampa Bay will likely be turning round on six days’ relaxation after enjoying Monday night time in Kansas Metropolis, so the spot screams “49ers.” As well as, the Niners are getting wholesome and this sport might function the season debut of Christian McCaffrey. On prime of that, Buccaneers head coach Todd Bowles is 0-5 ATS in his profession when dealing with an opponent coming off its bye week. There is a good purpose why this line already moved from -5.5 to -6.5 and it will not be in the least shocking to see it hit -7 earlier than kickoff.
Ben Solak’s first wager: San Francisco 49ers-Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 47.5 (-115)
The 49ers are coming off of their bye and hoping to return McCaffrey to the fold — their offense desperately wants him, and the Buccaneers’ protection is the right soft-landing spot for his debut. In the meantime, the Bucs are all the time good for some excessive cross charges and rubbish time factors, and the 49ers’ protection stays an overestimated unit in betting circles. Should you can block up their cross rush — which the Bucs’ wonderful sort out duo of Tristan Wirfs and Luke Goedeke can — then you may transfer the ball on them, each on the bottom and thru the air. Count on factors right here.
Tyler Fulghum’s first wager: Washington Commanders-Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 44.5 (-110)
Final week: Rams to win the NFC West (+500). Rams at the moment (+375) to win NFC West.
We love betting on the Steelers below, particularly on the street. This line is probably going a bit inflated because of Jayden Daniels. The Rookie of the Yr runaway favourite is unquestionably dynamic and able to placing factors on the board, however I do not suppose he is seen a protection anyplace close to the caliber of this Pittsburgh unit simply but. On the opposite aspect, Russell Wilson has been a revelation at QB for Mike Tomlin’s offense, however I really feel some regression is coming. Dan Quinn’s protection is enjoying lights out in latest weeks. I’d play this below all the way in which all the way down to 42.5.
Anita Marks’ first wager: Houston Texans (+4) vs. Detroit Lions
Final week: Patriots-Titans below 37.5 factors. Line closed at 37.5. Titans gained 20-17.
The Lions should hit the street for the second week in a row. They head to Houston to tackle a Texans crew that has a mini-bye, contemplating Houston performed Thursday night time. Additional time permits the Texans to get more healthy. Will Anderson Jr. is coping with an ankle sprain, and the crew hopes to get Nico Collins again into the combo. C.J. Stroud performs higher at dwelling than on the street and will not face as a lot stress towards the Lions cross rush with out Aidan Hutchinson as he did towards the Jets’ entrance seven.
Andre Snellings’ first wager: Denver Broncos (+9) over Kansas Metropolis Chiefs
Final week: Commanders -3 vs. Giants (-120). Line closed at Commanders -3.5. Commanders gained 27-22.
I totally assist the Chiefs being favored on this sport, however I believe this line is artificially juiced by the Chiefs being undefeated and the Broncos being blitzed by the Ravens by 31 factors Sunday. These two info masks the truth that the Chiefs have hardly ever gained in blowout style this season and the Broncos hardly ever get blown out. Of the Chiefs’ first seven wins, solely two of them have been by greater than seven factors: a 13-point win over a New Orleans Saints crew within the midst of a seven-game dropping streak and a 10-point win over a San Francisco 49ers crew that was beset by damage.
The Chiefs’ different 5 wins had been by a median of 5.4 PPG. Equally, outdoors of the Ravens loss, the Broncos haven’t misplaced every other sport this season by greater than seven factors, and their common scoring margin pre-Ravens was +6.6 factors. The Broncos are constructed round a robust protection that retains them in video games, and in contrast to the Ravens’ high-powered offense (first in NFL with 445.9 yards/sport, second with 31.4 PPG) this yr’s Chiefs play extra ball management on offense (eleventh in NFL with 348.0 yards/sport, eleventh with 24.7 PPG). Sprinkle within the division rivalry that usually makes video games extra aggressive than anticipated, and 9 factors is simply too large a ramification for my tastes. I am going to take the Broncos and the factors.
Pamela Maldonado’s first wager: Indiana Hoosiers to win the Massive Ten Championship (+1100)
Final week: Chicago Bears UNDER 8.5 wins. Bears misplaced to the Cardinals to fall to 4-4 on the season.
That is an attractive danger wager with probably excessive rewards. The Hoosiers’ offense is explosive (No. 1 in factors per play), whereas their protection has been stingy (tenth in touchdowns allowed). With a vital matchup towards Ohio State nonetheless to come back, a victory there would probably safe Indiana’s spot within the title sport. If they’ll defeat the Buckeyes, your +1100 ticket would primarily change into a coin flip towards Oregon within the championship, providing super worth. Given Indiana’s balanced assault, robust protection and the truth that they’ve already outperformed expectations, they’ve a reputable shot at pulling off the upset and profitable the Massive Ten title, making this a probably profitable wager for risk-tolerant bettors.
