Gold costs edged up on Tuesday as buyers braced for political tensions after opinion polls confirmed Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are neck and neck within the U.S. presidential election.
Spot gold gained 0.2% to $2,740.96 an oz. by 01:54 p.m. U.S. gold futures settled 0.1% increased at $2,749.70.
Gold is supported by “the uncertainty of the elections. A part of it’s what occurs if issues don’t go so clean, a part of it’s the potential of tariffs, some type of financial adjustments,” stated Daniel Pavilonis, senior market strategist at RJO Futures.
With a lifeless warmth between Republican former President Trump and Democratic Vice President Harris and management of the U.S. Congress additionally at stake, buyers are significantly nervy about an unclear or contested outcome, particularly if it fuels unrest.
“Ought to the election outcome be unsure for days and even weeks, gold would profit from the ensuing uncertainty,” Commerzbank stated in a word.
Trump has repeatedly stated any defeat may solely stem from widespread fraud, echoing his false claims from 2020. The winner might not be recognized for days if the margins in key states are as slim as anticipated.
Gold ought to in the end attain $2,800 “as soon as the mud settles” after the election, Exinity Group Chief Market Analyst Han Tan stated.
Elsewhere, markets broadly anticipate a quarter-point lower from the Federal Reserve on Thursday, an additional discount to U.S. rates of interest this yr after an enormous lower in September.
Bullion is historically seen as a hedge towards financial and political uncertainty, and tends to thrive when rates of interest are low. This has helped the metallic rise almost 33% to this point this yr.
Spot silver rose 0.4% to $32.59 an oz., platinum added 1.5% to $998.35 and palladium was down 0.2% at $1,072.50.
A non-public sector survey in high metals client China confirmed companies exercise expanded at its quickest tempo in three months in October.