Politics
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November 19, 2024
Palestine could not have swung the election a technique or one other. However Democrats unquestionably paid a excessive worth for his or her refusal to carry Israel accountable.
One of the crucial hotly debated questions of the 2024 marketing campaign was what impression the Biden administration’s disastrous and malicious dealing with of the genocide in Gaza would have on Democrats’ skill to carry the White Home. Now that the election is over, and Donald Trump has gained, we’re starting to have extra definitive solutions to that query.
By now it’s clear that Trump was in a position to capitalize upon broad, mass discontent with the administration on a litany of financial and political fronts, whereas Kamala Harris was saddled with the bags of Joe Biden’s picture and coverage program. Trump gained each single battleground state that finally determined the election; he may have misplaced each Michigan and Wisconsin and nonetheless gained the presidency.
Clearly, Gaza alone doesn’t clarify such a sweeping victory. Besides, the proof exhibits that Harris’s failure to interrupt with Biden’s coverage of unconditional help to Israel got here with a political value—one which was increased than many had anticipated.
The drop in help for Harris amongst Arab People in comparison with 2020 was considerably increased in each scale and depth than her underperformance extra broadly. For instance, Biden acquired 82 p.c of the vote within the jap part of Dearborn alongside an amazing 88 p.c within the southernmost components of town. These are overwhelmingly Arab areas, and southern Dearborn can also be majority-Muslim. In 2024, Harris acquired solely 23 p.c and 13 p.c of the vote within the jap and southern components of Dearborn, respectively. This practically 60-point drop in help for the highest of the Democratic ticket in simply 4 years can largely be attributed to the intense anger with the president on Palestine and Lebanon, with the Biden administration supplying the weapons Israel has used to eviscerate human life in Gaza and displace over 1.2 million Lebanese civilians.
Equally, in Paterson, New Jersey, or “Little Ramallah/Istanbul” as it’s identified by a lot of its Arab and Turkish residents, Harris additionally suffered losses that ran a lot deeper than they did on a nationwide scale. Whereas Biden received 70 p.c of Paterson’s vote in 2020, Harris was solely in a position to safe round 42 p.c, making it clear that this anger went past simply Michigan and impacted Arab American communities throughout the nation.
Within the months earlier than the election, some believed that almost all Arab People, regardless of their fury at Biden and their disappointment with Harris’s incapacity or unwillingness to differentiate herself within the Center East, would finally come dwelling and vote for her anyway. This has been confirmed resoundingly false. Nor was this a case of voters’ incoherently lashing out. The comparatively respectable efficiency of Elissa Slotkin, who referred to as for conditioning help to Israel whereas Harris didn’t, proves that the discontent was not rooted in a complete rejection of the Democratic Occasion however somewhat a selected sort of politics inside the celebration. Most impressively, Palestinian American Rashida Tlaib simply secured her fourth time period in Congress with greater than 62 p.c of the vote in Dearborn.
We’re now not in an period the place the Arab American vote could be taken as a given, particularly as extra folks discover contradictions in Democratic rhetoric and Democratic conduct concerning Palestine and the lives of Arabs extra broadly.
Present Subject
Folks will certainly learn this piece and ask, what may Democrats have achieved otherwise? There have been limitless alternatives for initiatives each giant and small to be undertaken in an try and reconcile with Arab People. Before everything, Harris may have chosen to permit a Palestinian American to talk to the ache of her folks and nation on the Democratic Nationwide Conference. Many members of Congress, alongside the United Auto Staff and varied Jewish American political organizations, have been urging her to grant Palestinians a platform. Her refusal to take action—a call some stories have claimed was made underneath strain from her nationwide safety advisers—despatched the message that she would do nearly nothing to earn Arab American votes, or the votes of anybody who was involved concerning the genocide extra broadly.
Even after the DNC snub, the Uncommitted Nationwide Motion nonetheless tried to make peace with Harris, asking her to fulfill with their membership in addition to the households of Palestinian and Lebanese victims of Israeli aggression. Once more, Harris refused.
Whereas placing apart for a second that suspending help to a rustic that inhibits the supply of humanitarian help is required by regulation, there have been additionally a wide range of issues that Harris may have pledged in need of an arms embargo which might have gone a great distance in the direction of the restoration of belief: a pledge to acknowledge the State of Palestine inside a sure period of time from the day she was inaugurated, for instance, or a promise to revive and enhance important funding to UNRWA, which continues to be attacked by the Israelis on a day-by-day foundation. In contrast to Biden, who promised (and but failed) to reopen the Palestinian consulate within the metropolis of occupied East Jerusalem throughout his 2020 bid, Harris made no particular overtures, solely imprecise guarantees to finish the wars in Gaza and Lebanon.
And, in fact, Harris may have refused to tie herself to folks like Dick Cheney, who has the blood of tens of millions of Arabs and Muslims on his arms. She may have additionally saved those that promote fanatically one-sided and pro-Israel rhetoric like Ritchie Torres and Invoice Clinton away from Michigan as a substitute of sending them there. And he or she may and may have, at any level, signaled that she would implement the legal guidelines of her personal nation on the difficulty of weapons transfers in a extra significant approach than her boss.
It’s not that any of these items would have modified the result of the election, provided that Palestine and Gaza weren’t decisive on their very own. However they might have bolstered her coalition at a time during which she desperately wanted it. They’d have proven her willingness to interrupt with Biden on a key challenge, thus sending a broader sign about her independence from her deeply unpopular boss. They’d have given many younger and demoralized voters of all backgrounds a motive to be passionate about her candidacy. They’d have countered Trump’s claims that solely he may convey peace and stability to the area. Most significantly, nonetheless, they might have been the suitable factor to do for a group that has suffered by the hands of the nation during which they reside. It will have been the prospect for one thing of a reset or rehabilitation. As a substitute, Harris repeatedly insisted that she’d have achieved nothing otherwise from Biden.
However the time to litigate these decisions will quickly be over. Biden and Harris might be gone, and Trump is signaling that he might be much more pro-Israel and anti-Palestinian than his predecessor. Whereas this appears a excessive bar to clear, particularly after Antony Blinken has revealed that there’ll be no actual penalties for Israel’s refusal to stick to US and worldwide humanitarian regulation, a second Trump presidency will see the likes of Mike Huckabee and Elise Stefanik on the helm of his international coverage and Center Jap political applications. The previous has stated that there’s not likely such a factor as a Palestinian and the latter has labored to root out anti-Zionist activism on college campuses. Each of them are open supporters of the unilateral annexation of what stays of occupied Palestine. Whereas the specter of annexation is just not in and of itself a loss of life blow to Palestinian nationwide consciousness, it’s nonetheless indicative of the viciously anti-Palestinian sentiment that pervades the Republican Occasion and conservative politics writ giant. It’s as much as those that take significantly the prospect of Palestinian liberation to ensure that the trigger stays an internationalized challenge and one for which damaging it bears actual political prices.
There might be some inside the American liberal milieu who all of the sudden, with Trump’s return to the White Home, discover their opposition to Israeli colonialism of their again pocket and produce it out into the sunshine. There might be others who, wrongfully resentful of Arab American political independence and incorrectly assuming that we’re responsible for Harris’s loss, will discover perverse pleasure within the struggling of Arab People and their kin overseas underneath Trump’s watch. It will likely be prudent to disregard the latter and channel the previous as finest we are able to. Thomas Friedman as soon as wrote in TheNew York Occasions that Biden could be the final pro-Israel Democrat to ever be president, and whereas I don’t assume that this can be a given, it’s incumbent upon us to ensure that whoever comes after Trump is somebody who stands resolutely in opposition to apartheid and helps the suitable of Palestinians to dignity and freedom in each phrases and motion.
It doesn’t matter what the following 4 years convey, Palestine is not going to be erased completely and won’t be despatched to the graveyard of historical past. Seventy-six years of wrestle have come and gone. Presidents from Reagan, to Trump, to Biden, and Trump once more have tried, they usually alongside Israel have all didn’t drive the folks of Palestine to go away.
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I’m reminded of an Edward Mentioned quote from an essay that he wrote in 2003 on the Roadmap for Peace proposed by then-President George W. Bush, mere months earlier than Mentioned left our world: “It might appear quixotic for me to say that even when the quick prospects are grim from a Palestinian perspective, they don’t seem to be all darkish. I return to the stubbornness I discussed, and the truth that Palestinian society—devastated, practically ruined, desolate in so some ways—is, like Hardy’s thrush in its blast-beruffled plume, nonetheless able to flinging its soul upon the rising gloom.”
Flinging our souls upon the rising gloom is our solely alternative.
We can’t again down
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Onwards,
Katrina vanden Heuvel
Editorial Director and Writer, The Nation
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