The very first thing to learn about Group Notes on Elon Musk’s tweets: there should be a lot extra of them.
Group Notes, the Twitter/X fact-checks previously often known as Birdwatch, are sometimes touted as one of many few good issues to have survived the primary chaotic yr of Musk’s possession. These notes are user-generated, often together with hyperlinks to high-quality sources. Like Reddit posts they dwell or die on upvotes (“useful”) and downvotes (“not useful”) — sufficient of the latter and so they disappear. Anybody can signal as much as contribute, if they do not have strikes in opposition to their account. Contributors are the one ones who get to see or vote on proposed notes earlier than they’re formally stamped on tweets.
Musk will typically tout Group Notes as an indication that he cares in regards to the high quality of knowledge on a service that’s crawling with deliberate disinformation. He is good to take action: one research has discovered that Group Notes enhance belief in social media, and so might assist deliver X’s fleeing customers again. However he does not even have to put his thumb on the dimensions of the X algorithm to keep away from them himself.
With almost 200 million individuals following him, if even a small proportion of his adoring followers are signed as much as fee proposed Group Notes, they will swarm the system, intercept and fee any proposed word on Musk’s account as “not useful” earlier than he will get one other badge of fact-checking disgrace. As on this occasion, the place retweeting a false story a few bomb at a Trump rally was a step too far even for his followers (the unique tweet Musk quotes was deleted; the Observe stays).
This helps Musk considerably. As a result of as any research of his tweets confirms, the bomb story is not an excessive amount of of an outlier: Musk is spreading misinformation continually. The New York Instances checked out one weeks’ price in September, and located one-third to be “false, deceptive or lacking very important context.”
In July, the month Musk endorsed Trump, the Middle for Countering Digital Hate recognized 50 Musk tweets that had been debunked by impartial fact-checkers. Not considered one of them acquired Group Famous, and so they have been considered a complete of 1.2 billion occasions.
As issues stand on the unofficial Group Notes leaderboard, Musk is at #55, with 70 Group Notes thus far. A number of accounts that he ceaselessly replies to and retweets are ranked within the high 10. The highest account has greater than 800 notes — however at a fee of fifty falsehoods a month, Musk would simply have outpaced them if oversight was equal.
So what can we be taught from the 70 fact-checks that did really get added to Musk’s account? Here is your TL;DR.
Musk’s early fibs weren’t that large a deal.
A mere three of the 70 Group Notes on Musk tweets have been earlier than the date he introduced that sink in to Twitter in October 2022. That does not inform us an excessive amount of, for the reason that Birdwatch service was soft-launched in January 2021 and solely absolutely rolled out weeks earlier than Musk arrived.
Nonetheless, we will see how minor the corrections have been at first. In his first put up with a Group Observe, Musk claimed his Tesla Roadster was orbiting Mars; it is really orbiting the solar someplace out in direction of the asteroid belt (which continues to be fairly a flex). The opposite two pre-Twitter Notes concern EV tax credit and Hyperloop tunnels, which he claims cannot flood. Regarding, to make use of considered one of Musk’s favourite phrases, however not an enormous deal.
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In Musk’s first week at Twitter, he racked up 4 extra Notes. However they’re innocent, even useful. A pair level out when Musk is joking, in case it is not clear. He calls Group Notes “superior”; a Observe offers additional info on methods to be a part of.
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Then on Nov 4, 2022, Musk claimed advertisers are “attempting to destroy free speech in America” by fleeing the service. Group Notes stepped in to level out that advertisers have been involved about Musk’s lax strategy to safety and misinformation as he gutted these groups. And a brand new extra adversarial sort of Musk word was born.
There are extra Group Notes on his tech posts than his political posts.
In 2023, Musk would obtain 31 Notes. It is nonetheless his most fact-checked yr. Might 2023 — when Musk launched Ron DeSantis’ marketing campaign on X, and incorrectly claimed DeSantis had set “an all time report for fundraising” — continues to be his most fact-checked month.
However that does not imply he is getting fact-checked on his political statements. Extra Group Notes seem on his claims in regards to the tech and media world, together with quite a few weird assaults on nonprofits (see notes on his tweets in regards to the Wikimedia Basis, the Web Archive, and NPR).
Musk is extra weak within the replies.
Of the 70 Group Notes on Musk tweets, a transparent majority — 40 — are on tweets the place Musk is replying to somebody. That is sensible. The X algorithm artificially boosts Musk’s common posts, ensuring that he exhibits up in your “For You” tab even in case you do not comply with him. However the algorithm does not push his replies, so falsehoods there usually tend to obtain upvotes from Group Observe volunteers appearing in good religion.
And what falsehoods they have been! In a reply to his mom, Musk disavowed information of his father’s emerald mine; Group Notes merely used his personal phrases in opposition to him, digging up a quote acknowledging that his father co-owned the mine. In a reply to a former worker, Musk claims there is no proof that plastics within the atmosphere hurt us; seems there’s. “Why would we’ve got your house deal with?” he asks a verified consumer involved about X doubtlessly doxxing him to the IDF; a Observe factors out that verification requires ID with an deal with.
And he cannot let effectively sufficient alone. When one supportive account posts a screenshot proudly proving that X is truthful as a result of “even Elon Musk will be Group Famous,” Musk replies that the Observe within the screenshot “is inaccurate and the neighborhood already voted it away.” That earns him one other Group Observe: nope, it is nonetheless there.
Musk loves Group Notes, besides when he does not.
On seven out of the 70 posts, Musk invited the fact-check himself. Invariably he tags @CommunityNotes on a tweet he needed to cite, and clearly already believed. On the stark assertion he is pushing, he’ll add a fig leaf by asking “is that this true” or “is that this correct?” Practically each time, the word that outcomes offers context that Musk has missed.
But Musk not often responds to the fact-check he is invited. The one time he did, he dug in his heels. “Group Notes is failing right here,” Musk wrote in February after claiming that it was unimaginable to signal right into a Home windows PC and not using a Microsoft account. No, the Observe on this reply said, you are able to do it — it simply requires a workaround that “the typical Andy” may not learn about.
The implication: A tech billionaire who’s been logging into Home windows machines for many years will not be the typical Andy.
Nor does this specific tech billionaire get Group Famous just like the Common Andy would, at the very least thus far. And it does not appear the service will do something in any respect to rein in “Darkish MAGA” Musk over the past month earlier than the U.S. elections.
Why? As a result of, like Group Observe, we ought to notice the restrict of Group Notes — utilizing clear language and high-quality sources.
Here is an intensive debunk of Musk’s repeated declare that “unlawful” immigrants are voting in U.S. elections; none of his posts on this topic have been famous. (Mockingly, Musk himself might have been at one time an “unlawful” immigrant — you’d assume the writers of sassy notes would take pleasure in pointing this out.)
Here is a debunk of his “you could have mentioned the precise fact” reply to an antisemitic screed final yr. A tweet so notorious, advertisers fled, and but it was not famous.
Here is a debunk of his “voter fraud in Virginia” put up from the final week, additionally not famous.
We might go on, however you get the purpose. If volunteers can’t overcome the Musk downvoters to append correctives on this sort of nonsense, there’s little or no he can say earlier than election day that will be fact-checked.
Famous.