Percentages might change over the course of the night time.
CBS Information nationwide exit polls inform us who voted, what points have been on their minds, whether or not they voted for Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump within the 2024 presidential election — and why.
“Rare voters”
Looking at what some name “rare voters,” nationally, roughly 1 in 10 voters say they didn’t vote within the presidential election in 2020. These voters are divided between Harris and Trump nationwide.
We see some variations in some key states: Trump has the sting with this group in Michigan, whereas Harris has the sting in Wisconsin.
Youthful and older voters in Michigan
There’s little bit of a reversal from 2020 because it pertains to age in Michigan. Youthful voters (age 18-29) are narrowly going for Trump proper now. President Biden received the help of 61% of voters 18-29 in 2020.
This deficit for Harris is largely to youthful males in Michigan who’re extra for Trump.
However Harris is doing higher with older voters, these ages 65 and over. This group that was extra divided in 2020.
Older voters make up a bigger share of the citizens than younger individuals do.
Gender hole much like 2020
Nationally, we see a gender hole that’s much like what we noticed in 2020.
Males are breaking for Trump and girls are breaking for Harris – these margins are much like 2020.
Ladies are making up 53% of the vote, whereas males are 47%. In 2020, the break was 52% girls and 48% males.
Trump made an enchantment to youthful males, and males ages 18 to 29 – are presently divided of their help – a bunch Joe Biden received by 11 factors in 2020.
Harris has an enormous lead amongst younger girls below 30, according to Mr. Biden’s lead in 2020.
Most North Carolina voters selected their candidates way back.
A small variety of voters — simply 5% of North Carolina voters proper now — made up their minds within the final week. These voters are going for Harris, exit polls present.
Voters who determined earlier within the marketing campaign are extra towards Trump.
Black voters and White voters in Georgia
In Georgia, Black voters are making up an identical share of the citizens as they did in 2020 — 30% of voters are Black.
Harris is getting the help of 86% of Black voters within the state, presently only a bit decrease than what Biden bought in 88%. She is doing a greater with Black girls than with Black males, simply as Joe Biden did in 2020.
Trump is sustaining his help amongst White voters in Georgia, and doing notably nicely with White voters with no school diploma.
Nationally, Harris voters extra assured the election shall be carried out pretty than Trump voters
Early exit polls present the state of democracy and the economic system are the highest points for 2024 voters.
The economic system is the highest problem for Trump voters, adopted by immigration. And democracy is the highest concern for the Harris voters, adopted by abortion — echoing a number of the themes we have seen all through the marketing campaign.
Most on both sides are scared, not simply involved, if the opposite facet wins, and whereas most voters categorical confidence this election is being carried out pretty and precisely, Harris voters are extra assured than Trump voters are.
About 7 in 10 voters (majorities on each side) anticipate there to be violence associated to the outcomes of the presidential election.
That is the primary time in its historical past – going again to the Nineteen Seventies – that the exit ballot has requested voters in regards to the prospect of violence because it relates particularly to a U.S. presidential election.
There’s discontent with the state of the nation — roughly 7 in 10 are dissatisfied or offended about the best way issues are going — one thing that has lengthy been the case. Whereas this is able to not be a very favorable surroundings for an incumbent social gathering, we noticed an identical stage of discontent through the 2022 midterms with a aggressive race for management of Congress.
Voters’ views of the nation’s economic system are extra unfavorable than they have been in 2020 — regardless of the nation being within the throes of the COVID pandemic on the time. Trump voters overwhelmingly view in the present day’s economic system as unfavorable, whereas extra Harris voters assume it’s in fine condition.
On the query of whether or not you might be higher off than you have been 4 years in the past, nationally and throughout the battlegrounds, extra voters say they’re financially worse off than higher.
The problem of abortion and gender
That is the primary presidential election in post-Roe America and most voters need abortion principally authorized. We see this nationally and throughout the battleground states.
Though present exit polls present that abortion doesn’t rise to be a prime problem for voters. Amongst girls nationally, democracy and the economic system do outrank the difficulty of abortion.
Candidate qualities: What have been voters on the lookout for?
The flexibility to steer was the standard voters have been most on the lookout for, adopted by logic, somebody who can convey wanted change, and somebody who cares about them.
Most made up their minds way back, however a number of determined late
These early exit polls present {that a} massive majority of voters selected their candidate way back — roughly 8 in 10 earlier than September.
A smaller variety of voters determined within the final week — presently within the single digits. Extra of those voters determine as unbiased than with both political social gathering. And so they are usually a bit youthful than the citizens general.
They profile equally to “rare voters ” — those that didn’t vote in 2020. About 1 in 10 voters on this citizens report having not voted in 2020.
CBS Information exit polls are surveys of hundreds of voters throughout the nation, together with in-person interviews with Election Day voters, interviews with early voters at early voting areas and cellphone interviews are carried out to measure the views of those that solid their votes by mail. The surveys have been carried out by Edison Analysis on behalf of the Nationwide Election Pool.
