The NFL affords an thrilling Sunday slate in Week 2 with loads of participant prop worth.
Listed here are a few of my favourite participant props for Sunday’s video games.
(Understand that strains transfer all through the week, typically drastically, so for those who need assistance on whether or not numbers are nonetheless playable, hit me up on X at @wayne_sports_).
Finest bets: Week 2 NFL participant props
Derrick Henry beneath 1.5 receptions (-145, DraftKings)
I cashed on this prop in Week 1, and I’m undecided why we’re getting the identical quantity once more, however I’ll run it again right here.
Derrick Henry is taking up the Gus Edwards position within the Ravens’ offense, and Edwards had over 1.5 receptions in simply three of 19 video games final season (16 p.c).
In Week 1, Justice Hill was the pass-catching/third-down again for Baltimore, working 26 routes in comparison with Henry’s eight and seeing eight targets in comparison with Henry’s two.
Hill out-snapped Henry within the sport total and he seemed nice doing so. T
hat position isn’t fully going away after John Harbaugh mentioned, “We didn’t deliver Derrick in right here to be the man that will get the ball 30 instances a sport.”
The Ravens are eight-point favorites this week, and I count on Henry to get extra snaps with a significantly better sport script.
Nonetheless, that sport script may also result in decrease passing quantity total for the offense. I’ll preserve betting on this Henry prop whereas it’s priced at 1.5 receptions.
Rachaad White beneath 47.5 speeding yards (-110, BetMGM)
In Week 1, White noticed primarily as excellent a state of affairs as he’ll have all 12 months. The Bucs had been going through a Washington run protection that ranked beneath common in opposition to the run final 12 months and had been main by a number of scores the complete sport, creating an ideal speeding sport script.
He ran for 31 yards on 15 carries, an unsightly 2.1 YPC common.
Now, he hits the street for a sport in opposition to the Lions, the place the Bucs are lined as 7.5-point underdogs in an anticipated unfavorable sport script.
Betting on the NFL?
Tampa Bay’s offensive line ranked lifeless final in adjusted line yards in Week 1, whereas Detroit ranked tenth on protection and now provides D.J. Reader, who has been one of many league’s finest run defenders for years.
White may additionally lose work to Bucky Irving, who led all certified working backs in explosive rush fee final week, whereas White ranked thirty first in that very same pattern.
White went beneath this quantity in six of the Bucs’ 9 losses final 12 months (66%).
Brock Purdy over 232.5 passing yards (-110, bet365)
The Vikings got here away from Week 1 ranked first in cross protection EPA and third in DVOA, however they took benefit of a horrific outing from Daniel Jones, and I count on them to return again all the way down to Earth right here.
Defensive coordinator Brian Flores employs a blitz-heavy scheme, however that gained’t work in opposition to Brock Purdy, who led the NFL with 9.72 yards per try (YPA) in opposition to the blitz final 12 months.
Minnesota additionally ran Cowl 2 on the highest fee final season, and Purdy led the NFL in fantasy factors per dropback in opposition to that protection, in keeping with Fantasy Factors Information. He completed with a 9.1 YPA in opposition to the Vikings final 12 months regardless of being with out Deebo Samuel, the crew’s go-to goal in opposition to the blitz and zone protection.
Purdy exceeded this passing yardage quantity in 14 of 19 video games (73 p.c) final season, and we’re getting a major low cost right here.
Alternate strains needs to be in play, particularly if Sam Darnold’s Week 1 isn’t a mirage and the Vikings can put up some factors on their finish.
Rashid Shaheed longest reception over 18.5 yards (-110, BetMGM)
I used to be tremendous inspired by Shaheed’s utilization in Week 1 within the new Klint Kubiak offense.
He had a full-time position because the WR2 with a 68 p.c snap share and 65.4 p.c route run fee — each would have been even increased if it wasn’t a whole blowout.
He’s hit the over on this prop in 11 of his final 18 video games with 50+ p.c of snaps and a pair of+ targets and 7 of his final ten video games with 60+ p.c of snaps and three+ targets.
Shaheed additionally had a 42.7 p.c air-yard share and a 20-yard aDOT.
He’s the clear deep risk on this offense, and with Kubiak using extra movement to assist him get free releases, he’ll produce explosive performs all 12 months.
Shaheed ran 35.3 p.c of his routes from the slot in Week 1, which is able to match him up with Jourdan Lewis, who ranked one hundred and thirtieth out of 132 certified corners in PFF protection grades final season.
The Saints are six-point underdogs on this sport, and so they’ll probably be in a unfavorable, trailing sport script with a excessive quantity of passing makes an attempt from Derek Carr—his makes an attempt prop is priced at 32.5 after he completed with simply 23 in Week 1.
Why Belief New York Submit Betting
Jacob Wayne handicaps school soccer and the NFL for the New York Submit. He’s up 84.5 models throughout the 2 sports activities with a 6.27% ROI.
