Week 4 NFL picks: Steelers, Falcons, and Bengals finest bets

Article content material

BEST BETS

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (3-0) at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (1-2)

Article content material

LINE: Pittsburgh by 1.5

Anthony Richardson is getting worse, not higher, as he heads into his eighth profession begin towards a Mike Tomlin defence that leads the NFL in fewest common yards allowed and fewest factors allowed … Justin Fields has thrown simply two TD passes and a decide, however the one different AFC quarterbacks at 3-0 are a few guys named Mahomes and Allen … The Colts defeated the Steelers 30-13 in Indy final 12 months to snap an eight-game dropping streak towards the Steelers, who lead all-time sequence 27-7.

TAKING: PITTSBURGH -1.5

(O/U 40): Steelers 20, Colts 13

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (2-1) at ATLANTA FALCONS (1-2)

LINE: Atlanta by 2.5

The Saints offence crashed again to earth with three factors within the first three quarters of New Orleans’ 15-12 house loss to the Eagles final week … The Falcons are 0-2 at house, however the defence was ample in a 22-17 loss to the Chiefs final week, and Atlanta QB Kirk Cousins is getting stronger on that repaired Achilles … The Saints have gained 10 of the final 13 conferences, however not at present.

Article content material

TAKING: ATLANTA -2.5

(O/U: 41.5): Falcons 23, Saints 17

CINCINNATI BENGALS (0-3) at CAROLINA PANTHERS (1-2)

LINE: Cincinnati by 4

The storyline likes the Panthers, who final week turned to the outdated “Purple Rifle” for steerage to their third win for the reason that begin of final season. Now Andy Dalton appears to make it two in a row towards the workforce he spent the primary 9 seasons of his profession with — and the workforce that in 2019 benched him on his thirty second birthday. Despite the fact that the Bengals defence has seemed unhealthy and Joe Burrow’s safety has been weak, the Panthers ‘D’ is worse and brings little or no strain to the QB. The Bengals are determined, Tee Higgins has a recreation underneath his belt. Ja’Marr Chase is coming off his finest efficiency, and Burrow is 15-7 ATS after a loss.

Article content material

Article content material

TAKING: CINCINNATI -4

(O/U: 46.5): Bengals 34, Panthers 24

THE REST

MINNESOTA VIKINGS (3-0) at GREEN BAY PACKERS (2-1)

LINE: Inexperienced Bay by 2.5

Sam Darnold is on observe to grow to be the NFL’s comeback participant of the 12 months, and his banged-up knee didn’t forestall him from practising in full as of Wednesday. Coping with his personal knee points, Jordan Love can be a game-time choice. However the greatest motive for this decide is the return to Lambeau of Aaron Jones, third on the Packers’ profession dashing record, who went to Minny when he wasn’t re-signed. That, and the actual fact groups have alternated wins the final six occasions they’ve met. It’s the Vikings’ flip.

TAKING: MINNESOTA +2.5

(O/U: 43.5): Vikings 24, Packers 23

JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (0-3) at HOUSTON TEXANS (2-1)

Article content material

LINE: Houston by 6.5

Do the Jaguars love coach Doug Pederson? I’ve met him. Good man. If his gamers really feel the identical, they’ll struggle for his job after a head-spinning 47-10 loss to Buffalo. The Texans had been additionally embarrassed 34-7 by the Vikings final week. DeMeco Ryans’ job shouldn’t be in jeopardy … The groups break up their season sequence in 2023, with the Jags profitable 24-21 in Houston. The Texans take this one, however that’s a giant unfold for an offence coming off a one-score recreation to face a divisional rival.

TAKING: JACKSONVILLE +6.5

(O/U: 45): Texans 27, Jaguars 23

LOS ANGELES RAMS (1-2) at CHICAGO BEARS (1-2)

LINE: Chicago by 3

The Rams had been taking a look at an 0-3 begin when Matthew Stafford and Kyren Williams rallied them to a 13-point fourth quarter versus the Niners. However anticipate them to maintain profitable with their two star receivers out and people accidents on the O-line? In opposition to Bears QB Caleb Williams, coming off his first good day? … The Bears have gained their final six house video games and the house workforce has coated in seven of Chicago’s final eight wherever … The Rams have gained the final three conferences, however haven’t tasted victory in Chicago since 2003.

Article content material

TAKING: CHICAGO -3

(O/U: 41): Bears 20, Rams 10

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (2-1) at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (2-1)

LINE: Philadelphia by 2.5

The Bucs have gained 5 of the final six conferences, together with 32-9 and 31-15 of their final two wildcard showdowns. All of the sudden Jalen Hurts goes to determine Todd Bowles’ defence? With out A.J. Brown AND probably DeVonta Smith? Not until Saquon Barkley goes completely nuts … The Bucs are additionally coping with accidents on each side of the ball, however they’ll be higher than they had been in final week’s 19-point house loss to Denver. Gimme this house ‘canine.

TAKING: TAMPA BAY +2.5

(O/U: 44): Buccaneers 23, Eagles 21

DENVER BRONCOS (1-2) at NEW YORK JETS (2-1)

LINE: N.Y. Jets by 7.5

Aaron Rodgers rediscover his outdated self in final week’s pummelling of the Patriots, whereas rookie Bo Nix was additionally good in a win over Tampa Bay. Now, the Jets defence is a lot better that the Bucs’, and Rodgers has extra weapons that Nix, however the Jets could have already got their baggage packed for subsequent week’s recreation in London. Did I point out that heading into this week, groups giving 6.5 factors or extra have did not cowl in 12 of 13 video games?

Article content material

TAKING: DENVER -7.5

(O/U: 39.5): Jets 20, Broncos 13

WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (2-1) at ARIZONA CARDINALS (1-2)

LINE: Arizona by 3.5

One unbelievable TD cross (to Terry McLaurin) and I’m bought on Jayden Daniels. Plus Commanders OC Kliff Kingsbury will need to have some concept needed to disrupt Kyler Murray from his days as Playing cards coach … Washington has gained three of the final 4 conferences.

TAKING: WASHINGTON +3.5

(O/U: 50.5): Commanders 28, Cardinals 24

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (1-2) at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (1-2)

LINE: San Francisco by 10.5

Accidents to Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel and George Kittle have remodeled the Niners from a NFC kingpin to a membership that squanders 10-point lead towards the Rams — and one that may barely be trusted as a double-digit favorite towards a Patriots workforce that also is likely to be the worst within the league. Sure, I say barely. Their recreation final week was a wakeup name for Niners.

Article content material

TAKING: SAN FRANCISCO -10.5

(O/U: 40.5): Niners 21, Patriots 10

CLEVELAND BROWNS (1-2) at LAS VEGAS RAIDERS (1-2)

LINE: Las Vegas by 1.5

The Raiders have gained the final 4 conferences and they’re going to reply after a shameful loss to the Panthers final week. At this level, it appears a great gamble to take Gardner Minshew in a showdown with Deshaun Watson.

TAKING: LAS VEGAS -1.5

(O/U: 37): Raiders 14, Browns 10

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (3-0) at LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (2-1)

LINE: Kansas Metropolis by 7.5

Not solely have the Chiefs gained the final 5 conferences, however they haven’t misplaced as guests to the Chargers, whether or not or not it’s in Los Angeles or San Diego, in 10 showdowns. 5 of the Chiefs’ final six victories over the Chargers have been by lower than one rating, however Justin Herbert (ankle) can be restricted if he does in truth play.

Article content material

TAKING: KANSAS CITY -7.5

(O/U: 39.5): Chiefs 24, Chargers 14

BUFFALO BILLS (3-0) at BALTIMORE RAVENS (1-2)

LINE: Baltimore by 2.5

The Payments lead the league in factors per recreation, and the Ravens ‘D’ has given up extra passing yardage than any workforce within the NFL — by lots. Can Derrick Henry come near duplicating final week’s outburst of 152 yards? He’ll have to for the Ravens to prevail. I’m going with the underdog Josh Allen, who’s 2-1 in head-to-head conferences with Lamar Jackson.

TAKING: BUFFALO +2.5

(O/U: 46.5): Payments 28, Ravens 27

TENNESSEE TITANS (0-3) at MIAMI DOLPHINS (1-2)

LINE: Miami by 1.5

Will Levis has largely seemed like a nasty concept, however he did cross for 260 yards final week with TD tosses to associate with these pair of pics. Both manner, I’ll go along with him over whoever “Mysterious” Mike McDaniel unveils as his beginning QB, whether or not or not it’s Skylar Thompson or Tim Boyle or Tyler (Snoop) Huntley or Snoop Dogg himself.

Article content material

TAKING: TENNESSEE +1.5

(O/U: 36.5): Titans 13, Dolphins 12

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (3-0) at DETROIT LIONS (2-1)

LINE: Detroit by 3.5

The Lions have but to get it going offensively, and the Seahawks have the most effective cross defence within the NFL, permitting a mean of 132.3 yards whereas dealing with Bo Nix in his first recreation, Jacoby Brissett and the lower than lethal duo of Skylar Thompson and Tim Boyle. The Seahawks have gained the final six conferences and 9 of the final 10, however the Lions will make an announcement on this prime-time slot.

TAKING: DETROIT -3.5

(O/U: 46.5): Lions 27, Seahawks 20

Article content material