The Week 11 NFL schedule for the 2024 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we have got you lined with what you have to know heading into the weekend.
Our NFL Nation reporters deliver us the largest keys to each sport, and analytics author Seth Walder makes a daring prediction for every matchup. The ESPN Analysis group offers an enormous stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, whereas our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a sport projection. Fantasy analyst Eric Moody finds fantasy soccer X components, and three analysts — Kalyn Kahler, Moody and Walder — give us closing rating picks for each sport. All the pieces you wish to know is right here in a single spot that can assist you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.
Let’s get into the complete Week 11 slate, together with an AFC North showdown between the Ravens and Steelers and the Chiefs’ journey to Buffalo. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night time Soccer” matchup between the Texans and the Cowboys on ESPN. (Recreation instances are Sunday until in any other case famous.)
Bounce to a matchup:
BAL-PIT | GB-CHI | JAX-DET
MIN-TEN | LV-MIA | LAR-NE
CLE-NO | IND-NYJ | ATL-DEN
SEA-SF | KC-BUF | CIN-LAC
HOU-DAL
Thursday: PHI 26, WSH 18
Byes: ARI, CAR, NYG, TB
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: BAL -3 (47.5 O/U)
Ravens storyline to observe: In his previous eight video games, Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is 7-1, throwing 22 landing passes and one interception. However the Steelers have contained Jackson greater than every other group. He’s 1-3 towards Pittsburgh and has totaled 4 landing passes and 7 interceptions whereas getting sacked 20 instances. — Jamison Hensley
Steelers storyline to observe: The Steelers are lastly opening AFC North play, and so they’ll do it with an offense that would give the Ravens matches. With Russell Wilson on the helm, the Steelers are averaging 230 passing yards per sport and 30.3 factors per sport up to now three weeks. The Ravens, in the meantime, are permitting a league-worst 294.9 passing yards per sport along with 25.3 factors per sport. To make issues worse, the Ravens could possibly be with out security Kyle Hamilton (ankle). — Brooke Pryor
Stat to know: The Ravens have allowed an NFL-high 22 completions this season on passes 20 or extra yards downfield.
Daring prediction: Steelers defensive deal with Keeanu Benton will document no less than two quarterback hits. He rattled off 5 straight video games with a quarterback hit to begin the season however hasn’t had one since Week 5. He is enjoying extra, and his move rush win charge is a powerful 12% at defensive deal with — eleventh finest on the place. — Walder
Accidents: Ravens | Steelers
Fantasy X issue: Steelers huge receiver George Pickens. The rapport between Pickens and Wilson is simple. He has scored 20 or extra fantasy factors in two of his previous three video games. He faces a Ravens protection that permits probably the most fantasy factors per sport to huge receivers. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Overs are 9-1 in Ravens video games this season, which is the very best charge within the NFL. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Ravens 33, Steelers 30
Moody’s choose: Ravens 30, Steelers 27
Walder’s choose: Ravens 28, Steelers 22
FPI prediction: BAL, 60.9% (by a median of 4.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Can the Ravens repair their league-worst move protection? … Steelers LB Queen says Ravens did not need him again
9:53
Who must win extra: Lamar or Russ?
Stephen A. Smith, Mina Kimes, Dan Orlovsky and Kimberley A. Martin debate if Lamar Jackson or Russell Wilson wants a win extra of their Week 11 showdown.
1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: GB -5 (40.5 O/U)
Packers storyline to observe: Coach Matt LaFleur and the Packers have gained 10 straight towards the Bears. A loss Sunday would finish not solely that streak but in addition one other one: The Packers haven’t began 0-3 in division play since 2005, however they have already got misplaced to the Vikings and Lions this season. The 19-year streak of avoiding an 0-3 division begin is the second-longest lively streak behind the Patriots, who have not began 0-3 in division play since 1994. — Rob Demovsky
Bears storyline to observe: Thomas Brown takes over at offensive coordinator for Shane Waldron, who was fired Tuesday, and can name performs for a Bears offense that has gone 23 consecutive drives with no landing. Coach Matt Eberflus implored the offense to show extra “creativity” after the Bears stumbled throughout a three-game dropping streak throughout which they rank lifeless final in factors (9.0), yards per play (3.7), third-down conversion charge (15%) and touchdowns (0). The Bears are 2-10 in NFC North video games underneath Eberflus, whose .167 win share in division play is the worst within the NFL since 2022. — Courtney Cronin
Stat to know: Quarterback Jordan Love has thrown an interception in seven straight video games, which is the longest single-season streak by a Packers signal-caller since 2005 (Brett Favre, 10).
Daring prediction: Bears quarterback Caleb Williams could have his first QBR over 50 since Week 6. I am betting altering to Brown because the offensive playcaller will assist spark the offense — which certainly has the expertise to be higher than it has been. — Walder
Accidents: Packers | Bears
Fantasy X issue: Packers tight finish Tucker Kraft. He has scored 12 or extra fantasy factors in 4 of his previous six video games. What stands out is his means to achieve yards after the catch, the place he leads the Packers. Kraft has a positive matchup going through a Bears protection that permits the ninth-most receiving yards per sport to tight ends. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Bears are 4-1 ATS at dwelling this season. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Packers 24, Bears 15
Moody’s choose: Packers 24, Bears 16
Walder’s choose: Packers 27, Bears 20
FPI prediction: GB, 63.5% (by a median of 4.9 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Jacobs brings ‘completely different dynamic’ to Packers’ backfield … QB Williams believes Bears have his again amid struggles … OC Waldron fired: What’s subsequent for Bears, QB Williams
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: DET -14 (46.5 O/U)
Jaguars storyline to observe: Quarterback Mac Jones will make his second begin for Trevor Lawrence (shoulder). Jones is coming off a sport during which he threw for 111 yards, turned the ball over 3 times and led the Jaguars to simply 143 yards of offense (the fifth-lowest whole in franchise historical past) in a loss to Minnesota. One factor that would assistance is getting receiver Brian Thomas Jr. concerned once more. He has had 4 catches for 34 yards the previous two weeks. — Mike DiRocco
Lions storyline to observe: New defensive lineman Za’Darius Smith is anticipated to make his Lions debut towards Jacksonville after being traded from Cleveland final week. Smith was not activated final Sunday to permit him to get acclimated to the group, however he is able to go this week. The Lions aren’t placing stress on him to fill the function of Professional Bowl edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson, who underwent surgical procedure to restore his fractured tibia and fibula, however to raise the protection in his personal means. “I am not going to be wanting on the stats,” coach Dan Campbell stated. “I simply wish to know that he is doing his job and he is as productive as he will be in that.” — Eric Woodyard
Stat to know: The Jaguars are 1-6 this season in one-score video games (determined by eight or fewer factors). That is probably the most such losses within the NFL.
Daring prediction: Lions linebacker Jack Campbell will document no less than 11 whole tackles. Campbell ranks third amongst all gamers in run cease win charge (48.6%) and is recording a deal with or help on 25% of opponent run performs, a really excessive charge. — Walder
Accidents: Jaguars | Lions
Fantasy X issue: Lions working again David Montgomery. He is averaging 15.6 touches and 15.4 fantasy factors per sport, making him a dependable possibility. Additionally, the Jaguars’ protection is permitting the third-most fantasy factors per sport to working backs, so count on Montgomery to see loads of motion. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Jaguars can clinch the underneath on their win whole (8.5) with a loss. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Lions 31, Jaguars 14
Moody’s choose: Lions 34, Jaguars 17
Walder’s choose: Lions 31, Jaguars 13
FPI prediction: DET, 86.7% (by a median of 16.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Jags rule out Lawrence, hope for post-bye return … Lions TE LaPorta day-to-day with shoulder damage … Lions’ last-second win interrupted by flight announcement
5:29
Ought to Jared Goff be out of the MVP race?
Stephen A. Smith and Dan Orlovsky debate whether or not Lions QB Jared Goff ought to be within the MVP race after a 5-interception efficiency towards the Texans.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: MIN -6 (39.5 O/U)
Vikings storyline to observe: Sunday’s sport would be the Vikings’ third consecutive AFC South matchup. They’ve gained the primary two, towards the Colts and Jaguars, regardless of quarterback Sam Darnold committing three turnovers in every sport. However their protection has pressured 5 turnovers throughout that stretch, and will probably be primed to generate extra towards a Titans offense that has dedicated 17 this season, tied for the third most within the league. — Kevin Seifert
Titans storyline to observe: The Titans are properly conscious of the Vikings’ tenacious protection and the way it confuses quarterbacks. Contemplating the offensive line points and quarterback Will Levis’ inexperience, it could appear as if Tennessee is at a significant drawback. Titans coach Brian Callahan and offensive coordinator Nick Holz stated they wish to make it simpler for Levis to see the solutions to the blitz early within the play and present Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores they’ve counters to his in depth blitz bundle. — Turron Davenport
Stat to know: Vikings huge receiver Justin Jefferson has gone three straight video games with no receiving landing, his longest streak this season. He has not had a four-game drought since 2022, when he went six straight video games with no landing reception.
Daring prediction: Titans edge Harold Landry III will document a sack. Although he has just one sack in his previous 5 video games, Landry has a 0.74-second move rush get-off, the fifth quickest of any participant with no less than 100 move rushes, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. And Darnold has taken 4 sacks in three of his previous 5 video games. — Walder
Accidents: Vikings | Titans
Fantasy X issue: Titans huge receiver Calvin Ridley. His 25.4 fantasy factors in Week 10 towards a troublesome Chargers protection was a season excessive. After the DeAndre Hopkins commerce to the Chiefs, Ridley has had eight or extra targets in three straight video games and will proceed to shine towards the Vikings. Minnesota’s protection offers up the third-most fantasy factors per sport to huge receivers. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Vikings are 7-2 ATS within the first quarter this season, which is the most effective mark within the NFL. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Vikings 28, Titans 14
Moody’s choose: Viking 24, Titans 13
Walder’s choose: Vikings 22, Titans 16
FPI prediction: MIN, 65.5% (by a median of 6.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Vikings’ conundrum: QB Darnold’s aggressiveness vs. INTs
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: MIA -7 (43.5 O/U)
Raiders storyline to observe: The Raiders will sport a new-look offense with the identical quarterback, Gardner Minshew. Las Vegas fired its offensive coordinator, quarterbacks coach and offensive line coach earlier than the bye week, and move sport coordinator Scott Turner was elevated to interim OC … with an help from a well-recognized face. Former Raiders coach and longtime NFL coach Norv Turner, Scott’s dad, joined the workers as an adviser. “A wealth of data,” the youthful Turner stated of his father, who referred to as performs within the NFL from 1991 by 2019, with a one-year break. Minshew stated: “It is type of the identical bones, identical common thought, simply … a bit of bit completely different taste.” — Paul Gutierrez
Dolphins storyline to observe: Dolphins rookie linebacker Chop Robinson has recorded no less than 4 pressures in every of his previous three video games, and he recorded a sack in every of his previous two. In opposition to a Raiders group that has allowed the fifth-most sacks within the NFL this season, Robinson and the Dolphins’ protection may replicate their efficiency in Week 10, once they pressured Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford 15 instances. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Stat to know: The Raiders haven’t misplaced six straight video games in a single season since 2014. They began that season with 10 consecutive losses.
Daring prediction: Raiders working again Alexander Mattison, contemporary off a zero-reception sport, will document a season excessive in receiving yards (at the moment 43). Mattison ranks fifth amongst working backs in ESPN’s general receiving rating (72), flashing sturdy open and YAC scores. — Walder
Accidents: Raiders | Dolphins
Fantasy X issue: Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. He has averaged simply 13.4 fantasy factors per sport since Week 8. However this week, Tagovailoa faces a Raiders protection that provides up the eighth-most fantasy factors to quarterbacks. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Dolphins are 0-4 ATS at dwelling this season. They’re 1-4 ATS as favorites. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Dolphins 24, Raiders 17
Moody’s choose: Dolphins 28, Raiders 14
Walder’s choose: Dolphins 26, Raiders 16
FPI prediction: MIA, 62.4% (by a median of 5.0 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Raiders sticking with Minshew over Ridder at QB … Dolphins RT Jackson out for season after surgical procedure … McDaniel ignores ex-player calling Dolphins ‘smooth’
0:39
How Fulghum is approaching Raiders-Dolphins
Tyler Fulghum is getting inventive in his two-leg teaser for Raiders vs. Dolphins.
1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: LAR -5 (43.5 O/U)
Rams storyline to observe: Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford has thrown an interception in six straight video games, which is the second-longest lively streak within the NFL, in line with ESPN Analysis. The Patriots’ protection has grabbed solely 4 interceptions all season, which is tied for twenty seventh within the league. — Sarah Barshop
Patriots storyline to observe: Veteran Yannick Ngakoue, who was claimed on waivers from the Ravens on Nov. 8, is anticipated to make his Patriots debut along with his major contributions coming as a move rusher. The Patriots’ protection had its finest third-down efficiency of the season final week, holding the Bears to a 1-of-14 success charge and hopes to proceed that towards a Rams offense that was 3-of-12 on third down in final week’s loss to the Dolphins. — Mike Reiss
Stat to know: The Patriots snapped an eight-game dwelling dropping streak towards the Jets in Week 8. They’re searching for consecutive dwelling wins for the primary time since November 2022.
Daring prediction: Rams working again Kyren Williams will document 25-plus carries. The Patriots’ protection struggles to cease the run and the move, however I count on the Rams to construct a little bit of a lead right here after which let Williams carry them on lengthy drives the remainder of the way in which. They’ve the second-highest success charge (48%) on designed carries. — Walder
Accidents: Rams | Patriots
Fantasy X issue: Patriots tight finish Hunter Henry. He had a disappointing Week 10 however had scored 12-plus fantasy factors in three of his earlier 4 video games. Henry has constructed nice chemistry with quarterback Drake Maye and has a positive matchup towards a Rams protection permitting the ninth-most fantasy factors to tight ends. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: Since 2022, the Rams are 4-1 ATS as highway favorites. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Rams 29, Patriots 27
Moody’s choose: Rams 22, Patriots 19
Walder’s choose: Rams 27, Patriots 17
FPI prediction: LAR, 63.5% (by a median of 5.5 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Rams CB Ramsey commerce first domino in group philosophy change … Does QB Maye crack the highest 10 NFL rookies record?
1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: NO -1 (44.5 O/U)
Browns storyline to observe: The Browns are again from their bye week, and defensive communication is a degree of emphasis after Cleveland gave up a pair of deep landing passes in a Week 9 loss to the Chargers. It is going to be key towards a Saints offense that rediscovered its explosive passing sport from earlier within the season. New Orleans accomplished a season-high 5 passes of 20 or extra yards in final week’s win over the Falcons. — Daniel Oyefusi
Saints storyline to observe: The Saints had a late pressured fumble and interception to seal a win towards the Falcons final week, and so they hope they’ll make a few of these performs towards former quarterback Jameis Winston, who has had 5 interceptions in his previous 4 begins (two in two begins as a Saint in 2023 and three final week). The Saints heaped reward on Winston as a teammate and chief this week, however Saints security Tyrann Mathieu, who had an interception final week, additionally joked, “I am anticipating a shot, first play of the sport, Jameis. Throw it up there.” — Katherine Terrell
Stat to know: A loss for the Saints would be the franchise’s worst 11-game begin to a season since 2005, when in addition they went 3-8.
0:38
What Fulghum expects from Browns-Saints
Tyler Fulghum breaks down why he expects the brand new coach bounce to put on off for the Saints once they face the Browns in Week 11.
Daring prediction: Browns huge receiver Elijah Moore could have 60-plus receiving yards. He had 9 targets every week in the past and managed solely 28 yards, however I count on that focus on quantity to nonetheless be there, particularly since he would possibly typically draw Alontae Taylor, who has allowed 1.9 yards per protection snap this season (third most amongst slot corners), per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. — Walder
Accidents: Browns | Saints
Fantasy X issue: Browns huge receiver Cedric Tillman. Cleveland is coming off a bye with Winston again underneath heart and Tillman as his No. 1 goal. The pair will probably be up towards a Saints protection that has allowed the fourth-most receiving yards to wideouts. Tillman has been constant, scoring 18-plus fantasy factors in every of his previous three video games and racking up 10-plus targets in two of these. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Saints are 1-5 ATS of their previous six video games (they lined final week). Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Browns 22, Saints 20
Moody’s choose: Browns 27, Saints 24
Walder’s choose: Browns 30, Saints 23
FPI prediction: CLE, 50.0% (by a median of 0.1 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Browns GM noncommittal on Watson’s future in Cleveland … How Saints’ wage cap math may influence Carr, veterans … LT Wills: ‘Enterprise determination’ to take a seat out sport backfired
1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: NYJ -4 (43.5 O/U)
Colts storyline to observe: Quarterback Anthony Richardson returns to the lineup for the Colts, and that could possibly be a lift for Indy’s run sport. Within the 5 full video games Richardson performed this season, the Colts averaged 5.2 yards per carry and 142.4 speeding yards per sport and had 28 rushes of 10 yards or longer. The Colts recorded seven of their 9 whole speeding touchdowns in these 5 video games. In the meantime, working again Jonathan Taylor has 4 100-yard performances in simply seven video games this season. — Stephen Holder
Jets storyline to observe: The Jets, who missed 20 tackles in final week’s blowout loss to the Cardinals, put a significant emphasis on tackling fundamentals in follow. Interim coach Jeff Ulbrich, a former NFL linebacker, gave a tackling presentation to all the group (sure, even offense). In addition they practiced in pads greater than typical. Prior to now 5 video games, the Jets have allowed 501 yards after contact, rating thirty first over that span. — Wealthy Cimini
Stat to know: Jets huge receiver Davante Adams’ 51% catch share is the second worst within the NFL since Week 7 amongst move catchers with a minimal of 25 targets.
Daring prediction: Richardson will break off a 30-plus-yard run and lead the Colts to victory. Richardson actually comes along with his justifiable share of variance, however that may work in Indianapolis’ favor, too. And you may often rely on the Jets to beat themselves. — Walder
Accidents: Colts | Jets
Fantasy X issue: Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers. He hasn’t delivered the fantasy season that managers had been hoping for, with simply two video games with greater than 20 fantasy factors. Nonetheless, Rodgers has a positive matchup towards a Colts protection that permits the seventh-most passing yards per sport and the fifth-highest completion share. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Colts are 4-0 ATS towards groups with dropping information this season. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Colts 21, Jets 14
Moody’s choose: Jets 24, Colts 17
Walder’s choose: Colts 23, Jets 17
FPI prediction: NYJ, 59.2% (by a median of three.7 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Colts bench Flacco, flip again to Richardson at QB … Inside Rodgers’ sophisticated relationship with the Jets … How does Ulbrich evaluate to Saleh?
4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: DEN -2.5 (44.5 O/U)
Falcons storyline to observe: The Falcons permit the very best completion share to opposing quarterbacks within the league (70.3%), are tied for worst in quarterback stress share (27.4%) and have the fewest sacks (9). Broncos rookie quarterback Bo Nix has fared significantly better whereas not underneath stress — finishing 70.2%, vs. 43.9% when underneath duress. — Marc Raimondi
Broncos storyline to observe: The Falcons would be the fourth offense at the moment ranked within the high 10 that the Broncos have confronted this season. Two instances (towards Tampa and Kansas Metropolis), Denver’s protection made life pretty depressing for these offenses, and one offense (Baltimore) put collectively seven scoring drives. — Jeff Legwold
Stat to know: Falcons quarterback Kirk Cousins is searching for to keep away from having consecutive video games with no passing landing for the primary time in his profession as a starter.
Daring prediction: The Broncos’ protection will rating a landing. Atlanta’s offense versus Denver’s protection is a strength-on-strength battle, however the Broncos’ protection, which is fourth in EPA per play, is very good towards the move. — Walder
Accidents: Falcons | Broncos
Fantasy X issue: Nix. The rookie is clearly in full command, and coach Sean Payton continues to impress as a playcaller. Nix has been a dependable fantasy performer, scoring 16 or extra factors in 5 of his previous six video games, together with three with 20-plus factors. The Falcons hand over the seventh-most fantasy factors to quarterbacks. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Falcons are 3-1 ATS on the highway this season after going 2-7 ATS on the highway final season. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Falcons 24, Broncos 22
Moody’s choose: Broncos 27, Falcons 21
Walder’s choose: Broncos 20, Falcons 17
FPI prediction: ATL, 58.1% (by a median of two.7 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Falcons again kicker Koo regardless of 3 missed discipline targets in loss … Rookie RB Estime could possibly be spark for Broncos’ backfield … Falcons want higher begins … Robust loss to Chiefs reveals Broncos’ restricted margin for error
4:05 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: SF -6.5 (45.5 O/U)
Seahawks storyline to observe: The tables have turned on an NFC West rivalry the Seahawks used to dominate. They’ve misplaced six straight regular-season and playoff video games to the 49ers by a mixed rating of 184-96, together with a 36-24 defeat in Week 6 that wasn’t as shut as the ultimate rating indicated. Seattle may have a number of key gamers out there Sunday who did not play within the first assembly, comparable to Abraham Lucas, Byron Murphy II, Riq Woolen and commerce acquisition Ernest Jones IV. — Brady Henderson
49ers storyline to observe: Christian McCaffrey’s return final week helped him knock some rust off earlier than going through a group towards which he has had nice success. McCaffrey has averaged 163 scrimmage yards per sport in six conferences with Seattle and reached 125 in all. If he will get to 125 once more Sunday, he’d tie Jim Brown (vs. Philadelphia) as the one participant in NFL historical past to submit 125-plus scrimmage yards towards one group seven consecutive instances. — Nick Wagoner
Stat to know: 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy is 8-2 in his profession towards division opponents and has a 76.7 QBR in these video games. That is the second-highest QBR by any quarterback because the metric was launched in 2006 (minimal of 10 begins).
Daring prediction: Jones will document a sack. He is an ideal blitzer however wasn’t used to speeding the passer a lot in Tennessee. Final week he recorded a season-high 10 move rushes, and I count on coach Mike Macdonald will wish to hold deploying him like that. — Walder
Accidents: Seahawks | 49ers
Fantasy X issue: Seahawks working again Kenneth Walker III. He has seen a dip in fantasy manufacturing these days. Nonetheless, the 49ers allowed a mixed 36.7 fantasy factors to Buccaneers working backs Rachaad White and Bucky Irving in Week 10, displaying vulnerability to the run. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The 49ers are 5-0 outright and 4-1 ATS in 5 conferences since 2022. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: 49ers 28, Seahawks 24
Moody’s choose: 49ers 31, Seahawks 20
Walder’s choose: 49ers 29, Seahawks 27
FPI prediction: SF, 69.1% (by a median of 6.9 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Seahawks activate Lucas from PUP, put Fant on IR … McCaffrey’s return has 49ers returning to roots … Seahawks waive main tackler Dodson in ILB shake-up … 49ers’ Lenoir will get 5-year, $92M extension
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: BUF -2 (45.5 O/U)
Chiefs storyline to observe: In seven profession video games towards the Chiefs, counting three within the playoffs, quarterback Josh Allen has 16 landing passes, three interceptions and a QBR of 74. Are the Chiefs able to conserving him from one other massive sport this time, even when Allen is throwing to a gaggle of receivers depleted by accidents? Prior to now two weeks, the Chiefs put up little resistance towards Tampa Bay’s Baker Mayfield and Denver’s Bo Nix. — Adam Teicher
Payments storyline to observe: Can the Payments’ protection proceed to restrict the Chiefs’ offense within the common season? The Payments have held the Chiefs to twenty.8 factors per sport in 4 regular-season conferences since 2020. Taking the ball away is a degree of emphasis for this protection and could possibly be the important thing to success. The Payments have 12 straight video games with no less than one takeaway, the second-longest lively streak within the NFL after the Lions (13). — Alaina Getzenberg
Stat to know: The Payments have gained 5 straight video games; Buffalo’s plus-61 scoring margin through the win streak is the third highest by any group within the NFL over that span, trailing solely the Lions (plus-91) and the Eagles (plus-82)
Daring prediction: Payments cornerback Christian Benford will choose off quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Benford is enjoying nice this season. In actual fact, no exterior cornerback has allowed fewer yards per protection snap (0.6) than he has, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. A part of that’s as a result of he is permitting fewer targets than common (13%), but it surely’s additionally that he has a minus-9% completion share allowed over expectation. — Walder
Accidents: Chiefs | Payments
Fantasy X issue: Chiefs working again Kareem Hunt. Kansas Metropolis is first in time of possession (33:01), which implies we should always see numerous Hunt. He has had 20-plus touches in every of his previous 4 video games, scoring no less than 17 fantasy factors in three of them. The Payments’ protection is permitting the second-most fantasy factors per sport to working backs. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS of their previous 4 convention video games. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Payments 29, Chiefs 27
Moody’s choose: Payments 25, Chiefs 23
Walder’s choose: Payments 24, Chiefs 17
FPI prediction: BUF, 53.1% (by a median of 1.4 factors)
Matchup must-reads: All of the unusual — and fortunate — methods the Chiefs have gone 9-0 … Payments’ offensive stars referred to as these performs for themselves — this is how they labored out
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC/Peacock | ESPN BET: LAC -1.5 (47.5 O/U)
Bengals storyline to observe: Can quarterback Joe Burrow hold attacking split-safety seems? This season, Burrow has the fifth-highest yards per try (8.4) towards these security shells, in line with NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. The Chargers use the split-safety formation on 58.1% of opponent dropbacks, the second-highest clip within the league. — Ben Child
Chargers storyline to observe: Sunday would be the first massive take a look at for the Chargers’ protection, which ranks first within the NFL in factors allowed per sport (13.1). The Bengals are one of many NFL’s finest offenses, averaging the sixth-most factors per sport this yr (26.1). — Kris Rhim
Stat to know: A win for the Bengals would improve their possibilities of making the playoffs from 37% to 52%, in line with ESPN Analytics.
2:04
Jim Harbaugh to McAfee: Justin Herbert is among the better of all time
Jim Harbaugh talks to Pat McAfee about what makes his Chargers group particular, beginning with Justin Herbert.
Daring prediction: Chargers huge receiver Quentin Johnston will document 80-plus receiving yards and a landing. That is as a result of he’ll most frequently line up in entrance of Cam Taylor-Britt. The Bengals cornerback has allowed 2.0 yards per protection snap this yr, second most amongst his place, per NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. — Walder
Accidents: Bengals | Chargers
Fantasy X issue: Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert. The Chargers have leaned extra on Herbert and the passing sport after the bye. He has had 30 or extra move makes an attempt in three of his previous 5 video games. It is vital to notice that Herbert has scored no less than 19 fantasy factors in three consecutive video games. The Bengals permit the fifth-most fantasy factors per sport to quarterbacks. See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Bengals are 5-0 ATS on the highway, whereas the Chargers are 4-0 ATS at dwelling this season. Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Bengals 25, Chargers 23
Moody’s choose: Chargers 27, Bengals 23
Walder’s choose: Bengals 27, Chargers 24
FPI prediction: LAC, 52.1% (by a median of 0.9 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Childhood photograph hyperlinks Zac Taylor, Jim Harbaugh earlier than Bengals-Chargers … Do the Chargers have the NFL’s finest protection? We’re about to search out out … Bengals coach to advocate over potential late hits of Joe Burrow
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN/ABC | ESPN BET: HOU -7.5 (47.5 O/U)
Texans storyline to observe: The Texans are averaging 119 speeding yards per sport, fueled by working again Joe Mixon, who has the third-highest common per sport (98.3). The Cowboys are permitting 152.1 speeding yards per sport, so this might result in an enormous night time from Mixon. Additionally, wideout Nico Collins (hamstring) returns this week after lacking the previous 5 video games, which ought to open up extra working lanes for Mixon. — DJ Bien-Aime
Cowboys storyline to observe: Can the second week of Cooper Rush because the beginning quarterback be higher than the primary? He averaged 1.96 yards per try final week towards the Eagles, so it must be. The Cowboys are searching for their first win of the season at AT&T Stadium (0-4) .They’ve had three dwelling losses by no less than 25 factors, matching probably the most in group historical past. The Cowboys haven’t misplaced 5 straight dwelling video games since 2015, once they completed 4-12. — Todd Archer
Stat to know: The Texans’ 15 takeaways since Week 6 leads the NFL. Houston produced solely three takeaways over Weeks 1-5.
Daring prediction: The Cowboys will fail to cross midfield within the first half even with the solar having already set. As an alternative, their greatest downside will probably be themselves. And a part of the equation right here is that Houston will run throughout them and personal time of possession, barely giving Rush a lot time to work anyway. — Walder
Accidents: Texans | Cowboys
Fantasy X issue: Mixon. Houston’s passing sport may get a lift with Collins again, however the Cowboys’ protection stays weak towards the run. Dallas has allowed the fifth-most fantasy factors per sport to working backs, and its defensive entrance ranks thirtieth in run cease win charge (27.1%). See Week 11 rankings. — Moody
Betting nugget: The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS of their previous 4 video games, their longest ATS dropping streak since 2020 (eight straight). Learn extra.
Kahler’s choose: Texans 30, Cowboys 9
Moody’s choose: Texans 28, Cowboys 17
Walder’s choose: Texans 30, Cowboys 6
FPI prediction: HOU, 71.1% (by a median of 8.3 factors)
Matchup must-reads: How dangerous is Cowboys’ offense? Worst begin in McCarthy’s profession … What Prescott’s season-ending surgical procedure would imply for Cowboys
