The latest polling reveals the controversy between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump didn’t change the course of the 2024 presidential race all that a lot.
In accordance with an ABC Information/Ipsos ballot launched on Sunday and brought within the days after final week’s debate, Harris holds the help of about 51% of polled registered voters, in comparison with Trump’s 47%. That’s the identical four-point cut up seen in polls taken earlier than the controversy.
That is regardless of the actual fact most individuals instructed pollsters Harris got here out on prime within the pair’s first — and apparently solely — face-to-face assembly.
“Individuals broadly decide Kamala Harris because the winner of final week’s extensively watched presidential debate — but neither she nor Donald Trump moved the needle by way of belief on the problems, scores of the candidates’ private attributes or vote preferences within the 2024 election,” pollsters wrote.
Harris’ obvious win, even when it didn’t transfer the needle, is nonetheless a reversal of Democratic fortunes from late June, when President Joe Biden successfully ended his presidential run with a disasterous debate efficiency.
“58 – 36 p.c say Harris received the controversy,” pollsters mentioned, in comparison with this summer time, when “Trump was seen as successful by 66 – 28 p.c.”
These pollsters spoke to 2,772 registered voters, and their outcomes match an analogous ballot of 1,407 U.S. adults carried out by YouGov for The Sunday Instances, which confirmed “Harris was the clear winner of the controversy however her slender lead over Trump within the election was the identical after the controversy as earlier than it.”
A Morning Seek the advice of Survey of three,317 seemingly voters discovered Harris with regular help after the ballot and Trump slipping barely.
“Our one-day survey carried out on Wednesday amongst 3,317 seemingly voters discovered the Democratic nominee main her Republican counterpart 50% to 45%. The 5-percentage-point margin represents a slight enchancment on her 3-and 4-point leads in our surveys carried out within the lead-up to the controversy, although the shift was throughout the surveys’ margins of error,” they wrote.
These pollsters say that it’s laborious to inform if Harris’ acquire through Trump’s loss comes because of the controversy or inertia.
“It’s too early to say whether or not Harris’ debate efficiency is the important thing driver of our newest head-to-head numbers, as our short-term traits counsel she was already constructing momentum forward of Tuesday’s televised match-up,” they wrote.
